Linus Van Pelt
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,144
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« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2011, 07:05:15 PM » |
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« Edited: June 25, 2011, 07:07:00 PM by 555 95472 »
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Given Muon's comments about the De Grandy decision and the recent Louisiana preclearance, it seems pretty likely that 10-4 with an attack on Barrow will be ruled constitutional. It's possible to get the 12th up to 56% McCain while keeping the 1st, 8th and 10th all at 59/60 without any of the squiggly stuff courts don't like on the borders among these districts, and without any major modifications to the rest of the state. I think this is much more likely than the attack on Bishop discussed earlier in the thread, which would require one of the GOP incumbents to get a much less white district. With all incumbent residences in the district of the same number and the new 14th district in the region of the redistricters' Hall County base:
(All race numbers VAP) 1 (blue): 59/41 McCain, 65% W 2 (forest green): 61/39 Obama, 51% B 3 (purple): 65/34 McCain, 72% W 4 (red): 80/19 Obama, 52% B 5 (yellow): 81/18 Obama, 51% B 6 (dark green north Atlanta): 60/39 McCain, 66% W 7 (grey): 66/33 McCain, 69% W 8 (purply-blue): 60/40 McCain, 64% W 9 (pale blue NW): 70/28 McCain, 84% W 10 (pink): 60/39 McCain, 71% W 11 (light green): 60/39 McCain, 65% W 12 (pale blue central): 56/44 McCain, 61% W (currently D+1) 13 (beige): 70/29 Obama, 57% B 14 (bronze): 74/25 McCain, 78% W
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