2012 Swing States (NC, VA, IN, CO, NV, MO, FL, NH) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 12:01:29 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  2012 Swing States (NC, VA, IN, CO, NV, MO, FL, NH) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2012 Swing States (NC, VA, IN, CO, NV, MO, FL, NH)  (Read 7259 times)
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,594
United States


« on: January 07, 2011, 01:15:35 PM »

You see, in NC at 2008 it was "cool" to like Obama. And the colleges did a great job at getting young kids to go out and vote for him. Now when this kids get out in the real world where mommy and daddy aren't paying for everything then they will start voting Republican.

But not all generations get more conservative/republican as they age. Look at the Gen Xers who were born in the 1960s. They started out as a very republican generation as Reagan won 58-59 percent of the under 30 vote in 1984. As time went on they became more of a swing bloc voting for Bush in 88 (but by 5 points less) backing Clinton both times, breaking even between Bush and Gore, voting for Bush in 04, and for Obama in 08.

Actually, voting 58-59% for Reagan in 1984 would make them a swing constituency.   Reagan won 58.8% of the national vote, so they'd be at the national average.

okay but while the Gen Xers didn't get more liberal as they aged, they sure as hell didn't get more conservative.
[/quote]
But in 1980, young voters voted for Reagan by 60%, when Reagan won just over 50% of the vote.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 12 queries.