2012 Swing States (NC, VA, IN, CO, NV, MO, FL, NH) (user search)
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Author Topic: 2012 Swing States (NC, VA, IN, CO, NV, MO, FL, NH)  (Read 7310 times)
5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« on: December 23, 2010, 06:43:19 PM »

With 2011 just around the corner, the primaries will be coming up 12 months or less.  What is the status of all the swing states and what social/fiscal issues can change their swing from DEM/REP or the other way.

Also, which battleground states do you think will go down to the wire on election night?
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5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2010, 06:53:30 PM »

How are you defining swing state?

Indiana has a higher PVI than Maine, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, Wisconsin, Washington, etc.
It is only one point less partisan than California.
Im just basing it off 270towin.com site from the previous elections, nothing less or more
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5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: December 25, 2010, 12:25:16 AM »

Yeah, I forgot to throw Ohio into the mix. Too many states to remember!
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5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« Reply #3 on: December 28, 2010, 01:51:26 AM »
« Edited: December 28, 2010, 02:09:37 AM by MagneticFree »

What would it take for a GOP to win 2012 without winning CO and NV?

GOP - 291
Obama - 247

This is my prediction

Obama loses election. Nevada/Colorado/New Mexico become east California, they repeat the transformation what California went through in 1992. My state is going to hell, where's a great place to move?

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5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« Reply #4 on: December 28, 2010, 11:05:29 PM »

Ok, what I don't understand is if CO, NV, NM, NH, PA, NC and VA lean Dem, how in the world is a Rep going to win in 2012? They need at least 4 out of those 7 states to win.

It's too early to jump to conclusions and say how the states vote in 2012, ANYTHING can change drastically.
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