Will CA begin losing eV's with the 2020 census?
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Author Topic: Will CA begin losing eV's with the 2020 census?  (Read 1366 times)
phk
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« on: January 02, 2011, 06:33:42 PM »
« edited: January 02, 2011, 07:01:56 PM by phknrocket1k »
Net outmigration has been growing every year since about 2003 and should reach well over 200,000 by this year. Even with this, our unemployment rate is above the national average.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #1 on: January 02, 2011, 06:50:26 PM »
Yes, I believe so.
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redcommander
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« Reply #2 on: January 02, 2011, 07:01:26 PM »
Yes.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #3 on: January 02, 2011, 09:55:27 PM »
Remember that:

1. Its economy is currently down in the dumps, but it will eventually improve, at least by 2020.
2. California also has a ton of people from Mexico, China, Japan, etc. coming in.

It will stay at 55, and might actually gain one.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #4 on: January 03, 2011, 12:31:58 AM »
Will CA begin losing EV's with the 2020 census?

I certainly hope so.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #5 on: January 03, 2011, 12:48:36 AM »
I believe they will, but, again, we're still 9 years from the 2020 census, so anything can happen.
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phk
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« Reply #6 on: January 05, 2011, 09:34:38 PM »
Quote from: Snowstalker on January 02, 2011, 09:55:27 PM
Remember that:

1. Its economy is currently down in the dumps, but it will eventually improve, at least by 2020.
2. California also has a ton of people from Mexico, China, Japan, etc. coming in.

It will stay at 55, and might actually gain one.

Immigration slowed massively in the 2000s though. 50% of all illegal immigrants used to come here at one point, its only 25% now.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #7 on: January 07, 2011, 08:53:46 PM »
Florida's going to overtake NY in EVs by 2020 (population by 2015), so that's cool, yet irrelevant.

I think
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The Economist
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« Reply #8 on: January 07, 2011, 10:27:46 PM »
Florida overtaking New York is pretty significant - it shows how much this country has politically shifted to the Sunbelt and Florida, away from the old Midwest and New York.

Anyway: as for California, I doubt it. I think it stays at 55 in 2020.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #9 on: January 08, 2011, 03:32:43 AM »
Seems more likely than not so far, but of course there is no way to know it. Only one year before this census, it was almost certain that NY would lose one seat... On the long term, I think California will slowly decline, but remaining in the 50s/high 40s.

BTW, do you think Texas could overtake Californa one day ? And in this case, when ?

Wrong board, BTW.
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jbgator
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« Reply #10 on: January 08, 2011, 05:55:31 AM »
Have to remember EVs are all relative and there are only so many to be dished out. If TX, FL, AZ, GA, etc all gain to the extreme, CA may suffer regardless of population.
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #11 on: January 08, 2011, 01:03:09 PM »
I wouldn't doubt it, as people will start to flock further East due to the massive downward spiral of things over there.
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