In PPP's upcoming Michigan poll ...

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Who's Pence?

But regardless, even if he's better than the rogues gallery you just listed, your wave peaked too early.

on a side note, what's been going on with you, opebo?  your tone seems different, even sad - does it have to do with your dad's passing?

[dmmidmi]

Michigan

Obama: 47%
Romney: 43%

Obama: 51%
Huckabee: 39%

Obama: 52%
Gingrich: 37%

Obama: 56%
Palin: 35%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MI_1207930.pdf

He is doing much better than I expected (though, I kinda thought that Palin would be in the high-30s). Not quite sure how useful it is to poll Obama vs. Snyder, as The Nerd has yet to take office.

It's a shame that they didn't do any polling on the Senate race (or Stabenow's approvals).

They did. It will be released this week as well.

It'll be interesting to see who they put her up against.

These results should be somewhat comforting for Sen. Stabenow, though. The results of the 2006 Senate race were almost identical to those of the 2006 Governor's race, which might indicate a lot of straight-ticket voting in Michigan:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Michigan,_2006

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michigan_gubernatorial_election,_2006

[Mr. Morden]

Obama 49%
Snyder 38%

Favorability / unfavorability:

Rick Snyder 48%/26% for +22%.
Mitt Romney 39%/37% for +2%.
Mike Huckabee 37%/40% for -3%.
Newt Gingrich 28%/50% for -22%.
Sarah Palin 34%/60% for -26%.

[opebo]

Who's Pence?

But regardless, even if he's better than the rogues gallery you just listed, your wave peaked too early.

on a side note, what's been going on with you, opebo?  your tone seems different, even sad - does it have to do with your dad's passing?

No, I do miss him but I'm doing fine.  Actually I'm impressed you can note any difference in my tone, as far as I've self-reflected I consider I'm always profoundly pessimistic on the forum.  As far as person life its fun as always, as long as there's a little money to be spent - my only ongoing source of angst is fear of losing my job.

[Tender Branson]

Obama 49%
Snyder 38%

Favorability / unfavorability:

Rick Snyder 48%/26% for +22%.
Mitt Romney 39%/37% for +2%.
Mike Huckabee 37%/40% for -3%.
Newt Gingrich 28%/50% for -22%.
Sarah Palin 34%/60% for -26%.

Comparing a popular guy that was just elected Governor by a huge margin to a President running for re-election is almost certain to produce lousy results.

People in Michigan want Snyder to govern their state now and not in Washington. That's why they vote for Obama and not for him.

[Poundingtherock]

It doesn't look like Romney is going to be up by the margins you all predicted for the primary poll if you dig into the crosstabs.

In fact, it wouldn't surprise me based on the crosstabs if Palin or Huckabee is leading in Michigan.  It looks like it'll be close.

[Poundingtherock]

It looks like Obama will be up in Minnesota as well, which was actually closer than Michigan.

I'm guessing he'll be up around 8 points on Pawlenty, 13 on Palin.  The others are tougher to pinpoint.

I'm guessing it's close between Palin and Pawlenty in the presidential primary and between bachmann and pawlenty in the senate primary (if they polled pawlenty for the senate primary, if not...then bachmann has a decent lead in coleman)

[Eraserhead]

I'm actually beginning to believe he has a chance of winning re-election, between these kinds of polls and the economic news.

What about his race though?

[opebo]

I'm actually beginning to believe he has a chance of winning re-election, between these kinds of polls and the economic news.

What about his race though?

Well obviously that is his number one difficulty.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Michigan will be a key state in 2012, it'll be interesting to see how he does.

[pbrower2a]

Michigan will be a key state in 2012, it'll be interesting to see how he does.

Michigan will look tempting to the GOP. I expect President Obama to deal with Michigan in 2012 as he did in 2008: solidify it early. Michigan stands to be one of those states that exports Democratic campaigners to such states as Ohio and perhaps Indiana.