RBH
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,210
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« on: November 22, 2010, 05:53:32 AM » |
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Let me preface this with some maps of how things are now
#1: the Chicago Racial Map-
#2: Current wards by race (White is Red, Black is Blue, Hispanic is Green)-
White majority/plurality districts vary from 33% (49th) to 85% (43rd). Black majority districts vary from 60% (2nd) to 98% (17th) Hispanic majority/plurality districts vary from 54% (1st) to 91% (22nd)
There are 20 Black Majority wards currently, 19 White majority/plurality Wards, and 11 Hispanic Majority Wards
So in the spirit of fun, and a challenge, I decided to maximize the number of minority-majority districts and minimize the number of white-majority districts.
The following 50 ward map has 19 African-American majority wards, 11 Hispanic majority wards, 8 White majority wards, and amongst the other 12 wards, 7 are Hispanic plurality, 3 are white plurality, 2 are black plurality.
Also, in the spirit of fun, numbering convention is tossed out the window, and dozens of careers are coldly ended.
Let's start with the Southside!
Ward 1 (blue) is 67% Black, 29% Hispanic Ward 2 (green) is 56% Black, 32% Hispanic Ward 3 (purple) is 70% Black, 16% Hispanic
Now you know the game being played, as the majority-Hispanic 10th is dismembered between three African-American majority districts (as you can see later, maximizing that total as the Hispanic-majority number goes up isn't all that awful)
Ward 4 (red) is 97% Black Ward 5 (yellow) is 81% Black, 16% White Ward 6 (teal) is 98% Black Ward 7 (gray) is 63% Black, 34% White
The 7th is the second heartless destruction of a current district (the 19th Ward), as the heavily white Southwest Corner is now in a majority-African American District.
Ward 8 (blueish, north of the 7th) is 75% Black, 19% White Ward 9 (skyblue) is 86% Black Ward 10 (hot pink) is 55% Black, 22% White, 22% Hispanic Ward 11 (light green) is 79% Black, 10% White Ward 12 (periwinkle?) is 78% Black, 14% White Ward 13 (tan) is 55% Black, 35% Hispanic Ward 14 (gold) is 75% Black, 16% White
Moving up the city
Ward 15 (Orange) is 50% Hispanic, 22% White, 18% Black, 10% Asian Ward 16 (Greenish) is 62% Hispanic, 27% Black Ward 17 (Blueish, north of Ward 15) is 40% Hispanic, 28% Asian, 17% White, 15% Black
Depending on turnout, there's a shot that such a ward could elect an Asian Alderman
Ward 18 (Yellow) is 58% Hispanic, 25% White, 14% Black Ward 19 (limegreen) is 93% Hispanic Ward 20 (pink) is 61% Hispanic, 20% Black, 16% White Ward 21 (Maroonish) is 39% Black, 31% Hispanic, 28% White Ward 22 (Brown) is 54% Hispanic, 32% White, 12% Black Ward 23 (skyblueish) is 65% Hispanic, 27% White
The last 3 districts are the dismemberment of the Majority White district by Midway.
Ward 24 (Purpleish) is 51% Black, 35% White Ward 25 (Pinkish, south of Ward 24) is 75% Black Ward 26 (grayish) is 51% Black, 34% White Ward 27 (Greenish) is 62% Black, 35% Hispanic Ward 28 (lavender?) is 59% Hispanic, 34% Black
Moving up the city, to our first White Majority district
Ward 29 (Grayish?, north of Ward 30) is 76% White, 15% Hispanic Ward 30 (rosey, north of Ward 32) is 63% White, 26% Hispanic Ward 31 (yellowish, west of Wards 29/30) is 62% Hispanic, 27% White Ward 32 (Orangeish, north of Ward 26) is 42% Hispanic, 34% Black, 22% White Ward 33 (blue, lakeside): is 83% White Ward 34 (green) is 56% Hispanic, 33% White
Those 6 were redone after I first completed the first version of map, and noticed that the 29-34 wards had a lot of low 50s for the White percentage.
Ward 35 (purple, lakeside) is 72% White, 14% Hispanic Ward 36 (Orange) is 66% Hispanic, 19% White, 12% Black Ward 37 (Skyblue) is 36% Black, 32% Hispanic, 28% White Ward 38 (Greenish, on the city limits line) is 67% Black, 21% White, and 10% Hispanic Ward 39 (Peach) is 65% Hispanic, 29% White
Ward 40 (Burnt brown) is 55% White, 37% Hispanic Ward 41 (Gray, O'Hare) is 83% White (not everything changes here) Ward 42 (Green) is 48% Hispanic and 46% White Ward 43 (Pink, NW Side) is 79% White, 13% Hispanic Ward 44 (Purple) is 62% White, 21% Asian, 12% Hispanic Ward 45 (Skyblue) is 38% Hispanic, 30% White, 26% Asian Ward 46 (Pinkish) is 50% Hispanic, 33% White, 12% Asian Ward 47 (Light Pinkish) is 44% White, 22% Hispanic, 18% Black, 13% Asian Ward 48 (Orangey) is 36% White, 27% Hispanic, 25% Asian Ward 49 (Brownish) is 47% White, 22% Black, 14% Asian, 14% Hispanic Ward 50 (Blueish) is 37% Hispanic, 28% Black, 25% White
So, when it comes to the Hispanic plurality districts, if you subscribe to the idea that a Hispanic candidate won't win a Hispanic plurality district (due to the whole VAP matter), then their plurality districts go 4 White, 2 African-American, and 1 Asian.
But it's always fun to get a coldblooded map from a world which will not exist with the current powerbrokers in Chicago. And in the scheme of things, as the percentage of whites gets lower in Chicago... they'll probably get unofficial VRA majority-minority districts in parts of the city that I just carved up (for example, there's not a single white-majority district on this map south of Chicago Avenue). Not to mention the reality that slaughtering the 11th, 13th, 19th, and 23rd means that the people living there would probably just move.
So that was an interesting test of creativity, and i'm sure there's more that can be done to make the map closer to the "White Man's Burden" alternate universe districts. And I can provide the street map with the overlays sometime later on request for certain areas.
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