US House Redistricting: California

[Brittain33]

Congress will be a better place without Calvert's fat corrupt ass in it in any event.

Definately. Any chance Jerry Lewis loses his seat as well?

Probably no unfortunately, unless he retires. Swing State who usually leans to the left in political analysis doesn't even see a significant PVI change to the Democrats with the independent commission.

Yes, there's certainly going to be one Republican district near San Bernardino.

[Brittain33]

This is lovely. Thank you for doing and sharing.

[Brittain33]

The VRA has to do with who the voters want, not the race of the candidate.

I of course would like a redistricting commission to draw the map in Texas (and Illinois). I am guessing you don't agree with that?

I was referring to exactly that. White liberals in California made sure that Hispanic voters have less opportunities to elect a candidate of their choice and that's why they have so few of 53 districts.

I only believe in consistency. Nothing more or less.

Alright, you have done it now. Give me concrete examples.

The Hispanic majority in the San Fernando Valley was cracked in 2002 order to keep two Anglo Dems in power. One of the rep had a brother in the legislature who made it happen.

None of this justifies the leap from "one legislative insider" to "white liberals," most of whom know nothing about this kind of thing and don't support it, but whatever.

[Brittain33]

Some maps are coming out. Not sure what these "visualizations" are for.

http://wedrawthelines.ca.gov/meeting_handouts.html

Zipped PDF Files for CD Region I, II, III, and IV Visualizations (zip, 7.3MB, June 2, 2011)

[Brittain33]

Can someone explain the changes in San Diego? Where do they leave Susan Davis and does someone get a new district?

EDIT: thanks to the link above, it looks like Bilbray and Issa are in a primary and a new Republican district was created that covers the south coast.

[Brittain33]

No one forget, the cardinal rule about redistricting is that everything is good news for Republicans, bad news for Dems.

[Brittain33]

How competitive is the suburban Sacramento district?

[Brittain33]

Lock and load, KO, etc.

[Brittain33]

Sacramento to Fresno is too far with too many people in between.

[Brittain33]

Presumably that S. Asian wunderkind running against McNerney.

[Brittain33]

The Republican convention is poised to do a 180 on its lame anti-senate-map referendum and encourage its defeat.

http://t.co/ODhK9IfT

[Brittain33]

The Republican convention is poised to do a 180 on its lame anti-senate-map referendum and encourage its defeat.

http://t.co/ODhK9IfT

They should have gone for the equal protection angle based on the staggered senate terms.

Referendum on redistricting plans don't really work since the same plan can simply be re-enacted over and over.

In California, though, wouldn't it trigger a new commission process, where the results are unpredictable?