NATIONAL GOVERNOR/OTHER RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[Smash255]

Boy are the Republicans glad Vincent Leibell decided to run for Putnam County Executive instead of re-election to New York's 40th Senate district.  Leibell won his race for Putnam County and the GOP did narrowly hold onto the 40th SD 51-49.  If Leibell decided to run for re-election, he likely would have easily won, but well it would have set up a Special Election.

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Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2010/12/leibell-wont-take-office.html#ixzz17IzXtUCr

[cinyc]

Cohen conceded the last contested NY Senate Race (SD-37) to Oppenheimer.  With Martins' victory, Republicans will control the next New York State Senate by a 32-30 margin.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Sounds like New York's in for another two years of comedy or tragedy, depending on your perspective.

[Landslide Lyndon]

What happens if Grisanti, a registered Democrat, switches or accepts to vote for a Dem gerrymander and there is a 31-31 tie?

[Verily]

What happens if Grisanti, a registered Democrat, switches or accepts to vote for a Dem gerrymander and there is a 31-31 tie?

Lt. Gov. breaks ties. The reason this was a problem last session was that Paterson never got around to appointing a Lt. Gov. until after the crisis started, so there was no one to break ties.

Interesting that Grisanti is a registered Dem; didn't know that. I think that makes it very likely he jumps ship. He can't possibly win reelection in that seat (70% Obama), and he can't be gerrymandered a safer seat, either, because the surrounding seats are already tenuous for the GOP.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Dayton declared the winner:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/12/04/democrat-dayton-wins-minnesota-gov-recount/

Even if all of Emmer's challenges are successful, he will still be roughly 8000 votes behind. So on what grounds will he sue?
And even then isn't it more likely than not that the courts will throw out his lawsuit as frivolous? 

He and the local GOP leaders are basically screaming "VOTE FRAUD!" with nothing backing it up. Probably something about that if he sues.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Just to show how civil Vermont's politics are, Peter Shumlin has appointed three of his primary opponents to posts in his administration. Matt Dunne is the only one out, but he might get appointed Treasurer since the incumbent treasurer has also joined the administration.

[cinyc]

What happens if Grisanti, a registered Democrat, switches or accepts to vote for a Dem gerrymander and there is a 31-31 tie?

Lt. Gov. breaks ties. The reason this was a problem last session was that Paterson never got around to appointing a Lt. Gov. until after the crisis started, so there was no one to break ties.

Interesting that Grisanti is a registered Dem; didn't know that. I think that makes it very likely he jumps ship. He can't possibly win reelection in that seat (70% Obama), and he can't be gerrymandered a safer seat, either, because the surrounding seats are already tenuous for the GOP.

That's because there was a question about whether Paterson had the power to appoint a Lt. Governor at all under the NYS Constitution.  To me, the correct answer was no - but the NY courts ultimately decided otherwise.

Grisanti won on the Republican line and is going to vote for the Republican leadership.  If he won this time, there's little reason to think he "can't possibly win reelection" - he very well might. 

If Cuomo is serious about enacting the agenda he campaigned for, Cuomo doesn't really want the Democrats in charge of the NYS Senate anyway.   Cuomo will work better with Senate Republicans than Senate Democrats beholden to the public employee unions Working Families Party, which Cuomo was tempted to try to destroy by not taking their endorsement until the last minute.  Of course, that assumes Cuomo is actually serious about enacting the agenda he campaigned on - and I simply don't trust him.

[Verily]

Grisanti won on the Republican line and is going to vote for the Republican leadership.  If he won this time, there's little reason to think he "can't possibly win reelection" - he very well might. 

LOL.

Maybe if the Democrats nominate Antoine Thompson again AND the Presidential election is cancelled.

[cinyc]

Grisanti won on the Republican line and is going to vote for the Republican leadership.  If he won this time, there's little reason to think he "can't possibly win reelection" - he very well might.  

LOL.

Maybe if the Democrats nominate Antoine Thompson again AND the Presidential election is cancelled.

I've said it before and I'll say it again - coattails are overrated.  Cuomo's coattails got him a Republican NYS Senate majority and loss of six US House seats.

[Linus Van Pelt]

Grisanti's problem, though, is that it's at least as hard for him to win a Dem primary in this district as the general.

[rbt48]

Grisanti won on the Republican line and is going to vote for the Republican leadership.  If he won this time, there's little reason to think he "can't possibly win reelection" - he very well might. 

LOL.

Maybe if the Democrats nominate Antoine Thompson again AND the Presidential election is cancelled.

New York voters are well versed in the skills of splitting their tickets.  This year's results just drive home that reality of that fact.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Emmer to concede: http://kstp.com/news/stories/S1871771.shtml?cat=1

[Smash255]

Grisanti won on the Republican line and is going to vote for the Republican leadership.  If he won this time, there's little reason to think he "can't possibly win reelection" - he very well might.  

LOL.

Maybe if the Democrats nominate Antoine Thompson again AND the Presidential election is cancelled.

I've said it before and I'll say it again - coattails are overrated.  Cuomo's coattails got him a Republican NYS Senate majority and loss of six US House seats.

That seat is WAYYYYY MORE Democratic than any of the seats the Dems lost.   Granted the lines may change some, but not enough for the GOP to be able to hold it after 2012.  It was basically similar to Cao's 2008 win in LA-2

[JohnnyLongtorso]

These threads can probably be un-stickied now...