WA: Public Policy Polling: Rossi (R) surges ahead in final poll (user search)
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  WA: Public Policy Polling: Rossi (R) surges ahead in final poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA: Public Policy Polling: Rossi (R) surges ahead in final poll  (Read 10118 times)
The Vorlon
Vorlon
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Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

« on: November 01, 2010, 02:13:53 PM »
« edited: November 01, 2010, 02:16:27 PM by The Vorlon »

I say that Rossi wins by ~30,000.

Rossi wins, initially anyway, by about 100 votes less than the net change in King County after the "recount".... Smiley

But seriously.....

Race is damn close, I have Murray barely holding on, but it's a 52/48 thing... tossing a coin is at least as accurate as I can be on this one.
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The Vorlon
Vorlon
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Posts: 4,660


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2010, 02:21:41 PM »

It's weird that PPP is showing Rossi ahead and Rasmussen is showing Murray ahead, considering it's usually the other way around.

The Rasmussen is actually a Fox/Rasmussen which differs ever so slightly in that the Rasmussen Rasmussen whacks the undecided one more time.  

Either way, they are both well within the margin of error, but the last Rasmussen Rasmussen had Rossi up 1%.

Too close to call.. just the way I like em Smiley
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The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,660


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2010, 04:21:13 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2010, 04:22:51 PM by The Vorlon »

I say that Rossi wins by ~30,000.

Rossi wins, initially anyway, by about 100 votes less than the net change in King County after the "recount".... Smiley

But seriously.....

Race is damn close, I have Murray barely holding on, but it's a 52/48 thing... tossing a coin is at least as accurate as I can be on this one.

Does King County have an extra 30,000 Murray ballots at their disposal? I thought it was rare if a recount changes the result by more than 1,000 votes.

Ya, but there are "re tabulations", sometimes those ballot boxes and/or voting machines that got "lost" suddenly get found.

The President IS from Chicago after all... Smiley

FWIW, I think PPP had a bad night on this poll, it's just a tad off to the GOP side in a few places.

Really, really close this one... we get to wait for all the mail in ballots to arrive! - Should know by January or so.
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