Right now....what's your best Senate prediction?
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  Right now....what's your best Senate prediction?
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Author Topic: Right now....what's your best Senate prediction?  (Read 2703 times)
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #25 on: October 27, 2010, 10:39:39 AM »

As of October 27th...

Guaranteed GOP pickups - North Dakota, Arkansas, Indiana


Likely GOP pickups - Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania


Lean GOP pickups - Colorado (Slight lean)


Toss ups - Illinois, West Virginia


Lean Dem holds - California (Strong lean), Washington


Guaranteed Dem holds - Delaware, Connecticut

So, as of today, I have GOP +7. Illinois and West Virginia look for now but I'm still pretty pessimistic about our chances in each state.
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Torie
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« Reply #26 on: October 27, 2010, 10:58:56 AM »

What Ronnie said, and Phil said, with his tossups, IL and WV, going to the GOP. The Dems' western firewall holds. GOP +9.
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #27 on: October 27, 2010, 11:36:48 AM »

The GOP pick up 9 seats. Rossi wins on election day but after a few weeks of ballots being counted in King county and maybe a recount, Murray wins.

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Јas
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« Reply #28 on: October 27, 2010, 11:58:21 AM »
« Edited: October 27, 2010, 12:02:00 PM by Јas »




So GOP +9, making it 48-50-2
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #29 on: October 27, 2010, 12:41:54 PM »

Easy GOP Pickups: ND, AR, IN
Lean GOP: WI
Toss Up, Tilt GOP: PA, NV, IL
Pure Toss Ups: CO
Toss Up, Tilt Dem: WV
Lean Dem:WA, CA

So, 7 GOP pickups with CO as a tossup.
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #30 on: October 27, 2010, 01:28:04 PM »

GOP wins enough to create gridlock, slow the recovery and blame Obama for that.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #31 on: October 27, 2010, 05:24:46 PM »

Guaranteed GOP pickups - North Dakota, Arkansas, Indiana


Likely GOP pickups - Wisconsin


Lean GOP pickups - Nevada


Toss ups - Illinois (DEM), Colorado (GOP), Pennsylvania (my feeling is GOP... but this will be close)


Lean Dem holds - California, Washington, West Virginia


Guaranteed Dem holds - Delaware, Connecticut

So GOP +6 or +7
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Smash255
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« Reply #32 on: October 27, 2010, 05:27:01 PM »

Probably will get criticized for this, but right now I have AR, IN, ND & WV switching with the Dems holding on to the rest.  They could even retain WV.  With that being said, the Dems could very easily lose 5 more seats.

I am very close to moving WI over to the GOP side.  I will wait for the PPP poll before I do, the margin in WI-8 does give me hope there.  I think they retain Illinois because of the Dem lean, Nevada because of Angle being crazy, though getting less confident with that.

I just have a feeling they will be able to pull off CO & PA, mostly due to the suburban factor in Denver & Philly

I have decided to flip West Virginia and Wisconsin, getting closer to flipping Nevada
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #33 on: October 27, 2010, 07:19:09 PM »

GOP gains:

AR
CO
IL
IN
ND
NV
PA
WI

Democrats hold a 49-49-2 majority like in 2007-2008.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #34 on: October 27, 2010, 07:22:28 PM »

Probably 7-8 seats, minimum 4 maximum 10 though I really think it's 5-9, as I think CA, NV and WA are done.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #35 on: October 28, 2010, 01:38:15 PM »

8 seats +/- 2 either way Smiley
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #36 on: October 28, 2010, 02:44:03 PM »


So you're having 47-53 means?  Smiley
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #37 on: October 28, 2010, 05:48:14 PM »

I'm not making any predictions until Monday, where I'll be really, really thorough about all of them.
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