US House Redistricting: General

[ProgressiveModerate]

All I want for Christmas is Virginia and New York.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Expect A LOT of redistricting news this week after several weeks of not a lot.

This includes:

- NY introducing and potentially passing maps
- FL House voting on maps; we’ll see if they keep the State Senate map
- Louisiana will finally be introducing maps in the legistlature to vote on but they may get vetoed
- TN and KS maps are at governors desk
- NC SC hears redistricting case
- Prolly some other stuff too

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1490729452267098112

Could the GOP's House gains be underwhelming?

Ye I think most people in the congressional thread seem to have quite disjointed House and Senate predictions, saying stuff like the Senate will be a wash and Dems will lose 35 House seats in 2022. Frankly, if Democrats are at a level where they’re competitive in holding the Senate they’re also competitive in holding the House, and the median House seat could very well vote to the left of the median senate seat. If Dems are doomed in the House, they’re also prolly doomed in the Senate

[ProgressiveModerate]

It looks like my old district of SC-01 moved the entirety of downtown Charleston and one of its suburbs into Jim Clyburn's district and expanded into a rural county. I guess the state GOP was upset Joe Cunningham defeated crazy Katie Arrington in 2018.

I had no idea of this until I went to vote against Katie Arrington again to ensure that, if a Republican won, it would be Nancy Mace, but found out through the poll workers I was no longer in the 1st district. They said there was a lawsuit pending over that, but I am sure nothing will come of it.

Mace's district is trapped along the coast by Clyburns which was underpopulated, and protected by VRA, making it very hard to shore up mace much. Rural communities both to the Northeast and Southwest of Charleston along the coast Lean D because of black population, instead the only real option was to do a finer sorting of conservative Charleston suburbs into Mace's district and ones that had become bluer into Clyburns.

In a close election, these changes could matter, but Mace could still be in trouble at some point this decade.