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January 26, 2021, 12:43:22 AM

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
  US House Redistricting: General (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: US House Redistricting: General  (Read 115201 times)
I Grew Up On A Farm BEEP Radical Liberal Raphael Warnock 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,140


P P
« on: January 11, 2020, 02:03:30 AM »



1 - D+23 (48% BVAP)
2 - D+22 (48% BVAP)
3 - D+6
4 - D+26 (57% HVAP)
5 - D+21
6 - D+16 (39% HVAP)
7 - D+22 (48% BVAP)
8 - D+8
9 - D+8
10 - D+7
11 - D+6
12 - R+19
13 - D+6
14 - D+12
15 - R+19
16 - R+13
17 - D+4

A different take on an Illinois Dem gerrymander. All sitting dem congressmen keep their own seperate
districts.

There should be more districts going into Chicagoland, but you are on the right track.
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I Grew Up On A Farm BEEP Radical Liberal Raphael Warnock 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,140


P P
« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2020, 08:12:29 PM »

I feel like a map this messy would backfire hard in some way. Either it ends up becoming a dummymander or it gets thrown out by a court.  

If it were to get thrown out by a court, that would be a plus, because it would set precedent against partisan gerrymandering that would also throw out GOP gerrymandering. So Dems should be super-aggressive, with the goal of disenfranchising every Republican in Illinois (or else coming as close to that as possible). Likewise in states like MD they should draw an 8-0 map to rig the elections.
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I Grew Up On A Farm BEEP Radical Liberal Raphael Warnock 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,140


P P
« Reply #2 on: January 11, 2020, 10:08:39 PM »

There should be more districts going into Chicagoland, but you are on the right track.

You can already draw 2 Dem seats downstate (the 2 squiggles). You can't really get up to a 15-2 map without far worse boundaries and annoying a lot of incumbent D congressmen.

I was trying to say what should happen (as egregious as possible of a gerrymander should be drawn, and if it gets struck down for partisan gerrymandering, that is win-win), not what would necessarily in fact happen.

I wouldn't trust that downstate Dem districts will necessarily stay Dem - it is safer to draw them into Chicagoland than to assume that they won't become more Republican (in particular Cheri Bustos' district).

You can draw 15-2 though, i.e. https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=294399.msg6543428#msg6543428
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