Is it realistically possible to pack Kevin McCarthy and Devin Nunes into the same district of California loses a seat? What about to eliminate one of their seats without endangering any Democrats via ripple effect?
Due to the fact that a commission makes the maps in CA, although its rather easily influenced, the most likely result would be a loss of a D seat.
Well, sure, but is there a map accomplishing the above that could realistically get through the committee?
Most likely no. The best that could pass the commission is a Blue seat is gone and an R seat like Nunez's seat becomes really close.
Most of the population loss is in the Northeast part of the state. It's possible that CA-01 could get ripped apart with 2, 3 and 4 taking the scraps.
The problem with that idea is that you are ripping apart an R seat. The commission tries to make competitive seats and respects the minority party to a degree. They would not take another seat from the GOP.
Then it might be the 3rd.
Yeah that would make sense. Could shift CA-4 west. Give up the mountains and take in Yuba, Sutter, Colusa, and Glenn, making it a central valley/exurban Sacramento district. Also keep in mind if the citizenship question makes it on the census, biggest population losses come from the valley and socal. I could see a seat in LA county being ripped up if there's an undercount of hispanics. Maybe CA-40?