CA: Rasmussen: Boxer narrowly leads (user search)

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  CA: Rasmussen: Boxer narrowly leads (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA: Rasmussen: Boxer narrowly leads  (Read 3893 times)
Chief Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,328
United States

« on: October 24, 2010, 03:27:01 PM »

I know it's become popular these days to point out that Boxer can't hit 50, but the fact is that she doesn't need to hit 50 to win. If minor candidates got up to 4% of the vote in the senate race and up to 6-8% in the governor's race, it wouldn't surprise me one bit.

It's never good for an incumbent to be below 50 consistently this late in the game.

48% is 50% in California. Lots of third party strength here and I expect it to be even stronger this year.

     This cannot be stressed enough. If Boxer reaches 50%, she is winning by a pretty decent margin. Not so great for a California Democrat, but we are talking about 4-5%.
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