CA: Rasmussen: Boxer narrowly leads (user search)
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  CA: Rasmussen: Boxer narrowly leads (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA: Rasmussen: Boxer narrowly leads  (Read 3894 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: October 23, 2010, 09:46:38 PM »

Isn't there an old "rule of thumb" that undecideds break 2-1 against the incumbent? If that is so, then Carly may have a chance after all.

The "undecideds break 2-1 against the incumbent" rule, along with the "incumbent under 50% is in trouble" rule, is arbitrary and silly. I'd like to see quantitative data on either.

From the data I've seen, the over-under line for incumbents is closer to 45% than 50%.
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