Awesome.
This race seems wildly unstable though.
I think it's the polls rather than the race itself. Survey USA has had some weird numbers in Kentucky too. But before they only showed her at 2% lead (a 1% gain for her), which is a good sign.
Survey USA only includes people who are 80% sure they will vote, which may leave out a lot of Democrats who actually will vote, but aren't that enthusiastic about the race.
That's not what SUSA does. At least in Delaware, they asked on a scale from 1 to 10, how likely are you to vote, and include the 8s, 9s and 10s. That's not equivalent to only including people who are 80% sure they will vote, as the scale is subjective. In Delaware, most people characterized themselves in the 1, 8-10 or 5 categories. The 1s almost certainly won't vote. Only the 1s (10%) and 10s (72%) were even in double digits. 9s were 9%, 8s 3% and 5s 4% of the total. No other category had more than 1%.
SUSA's methodology is fairly standard in the industry. Studies have shown that those who answer 1-7 usually don't vote. I believe this is one of the questions Gallup asks to determine likelihood of vote, but the Vorlon could probably tell us more.
