Historical election least likely to be called "close" *or* a "landslide" (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 06:00:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Historical election least likely to be called "close" *or* a "landslide" (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Historical election least likely to be called "close" *or* a "landslide"  (Read 5988 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,152
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: September 27, 2010, 08:54:36 AM »

Well, Clinton's wins weren't a landslide in any way, nor were Obama's. I didn't hear anybody claim that but if someone does, I'd like to hear his arguments. As for Tuman, remember that a signle point swing from Dem to Rep would have flipped OH, IL and CA, thus the victory, to Dewey. In this way, it was close indeed.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,152
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2010, 12:50:15 AM »

Yeah, I think Mechman really said it better than any of us could.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,152
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: January 16, 2013, 08:26:04 AM »

The tipping point State, Colorado, was won by just over 5 points, so it was clearly not close and clearly not a landslide.

The only really dubious landslide case is 1980, because Reagan's PV margin wasn't that impressive, but the EC results were. All the other victories slightly below 1980 levels (see 1988, 1992, 1996, 2008) were NOT landslides in any meaningful way.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,152
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: February 06, 2013, 03:09:00 AM »

The 1880 election is hardly ever mentioned as a "close" election, despite that the national popular vote difference was less than 2,000 votes and that only about 20,000 votes in New York would have swung the election.

1880 clearly was a very close election. Every election from 1876 to 1888 was.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,152
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2013, 10:43:50 PM »

The tipping point State, Colorado, was won by just over 5 points, so it was clearly not close and clearly not a landslide.

The only really dubious landslide case is 1980, because Reagan's PV margin wasn't that impressive, but the EC results were. All the other victories slightly below 1980 levels (see 1988, 1992, 1996, 2008) were NOT landslides in any meaningful way.

1980?? Reagan's PV margin was almost 10 points. That's pretty huge.

Nah, 10 points is good but not great. You are too focused on our modern hyper-partisan era, where everything above 5 seems outstanding.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.031 seconds with 12 queries.