Will Prop 19 pass in every precinct in San Francisco?
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  Will Prop 19 pass in every precinct in San Francisco?
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Question: Will Prop 19 pass in every precinct in San Francisco?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Total Voters: 23

Author Topic: Will Prop 19 pass in every precinct in San Francisco?  (Read 2241 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« on: September 13, 2010, 01:17:53 AM »

Well?
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2010, 01:25:06 AM »

     That's a good question, actually. The D>50% precincts are obvious candidates to reject it, but in my experience those are largely white. As such, it shouldn't run that much worse than Obama there. Did Prop 8 win any precincts in San Francisco?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2010, 01:48:25 AM »

I think it's pretty cool how smoking marijuana in bars in San Francisco is very tolerated when smoking tobacco in them is banned and not tolerated.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2010, 01:56:34 AM »

I think it's pretty cool how smoking marijuana in bars in San Francisco is very tolerated when smoking tobacco in them is banned and not tolerated.

     Not the same thing as a bar, but I went to a concert a few weeks ago. A friend of a friend lit up a joint & a staffer made him put it out.
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RI
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« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2010, 03:06:34 PM »


Yes, Prop 8 won a number of them, especially in the precincts with high minority populations.

Nice map. A prop 8 map of SF would be even more interesting.....

My last map of the day: Proposition 8 in SF County, CA. There are some very interesting differences between the Presidential results and this one.


The darker grey county at the bottom left is a tie.

Alcon did a good analysis of the results in the next post of that thread.
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Lunar
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« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2010, 09:38:53 PM »

Does BRTD think it will win in Chinatown?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2010, 10:37:53 PM »

Does BRTD think it will win in Chinatown?

I've smoked pot with Asians before.
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Lunar
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« Reply #7 on: September 13, 2010, 11:03:13 PM »


wtf, they're people.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #8 on: September 14, 2010, 12:45:47 AM »


Yes, Prop 8 won a number of them, especially in the precincts with high minority populations.

Nice map. A prop 8 map of SF would be even more interesting.....

My last map of the day: Proposition 8 in SF County, CA. There are some very interesting differences between the Presidential results and this one.


The darker grey county at the bottom left is a tie.

Alcon did a good analysis of the results in the next post of that thread.

     The only green precincts that were remotely close for Obama were the two Parkside ones. The existence of a handful of Y>60% precincts for Prop 8 makes me doubtful Prop 19 will be able to win all of them though.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: September 14, 2010, 08:35:26 AM »

I think it's pretty cool how smoking marijuana in bars in San Francisco is very tolerated when smoking tobacco in them is banned and not tolerated.

Really? I've heard the opposite from many people.

I think you'd like Prague though. In most bars here you'll see people sitting at tables smoking weed (or snorting cocaine...) and no one cares. Usually you can ask the bartender and he'll tell you who in the bar to buy it from, or even sell it to you himself.
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Alcon
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« Reply #10 on: September 14, 2010, 10:19:00 PM »

I doubt that pot is any more popular than gays with the Asian populations, and it's hard to imagine it not failing at least one SE SF precinct too.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #11 on: September 14, 2010, 10:21:03 PM »

Why would gays hate pot more than the average population?
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Lunar
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« Reply #12 on: September 14, 2010, 10:21:48 PM »

Why would gays hate pot more than the average population?

misread his statement
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #13 on: September 14, 2010, 10:23:39 PM »

I thought the green areas are basically all blacks?
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #14 on: September 14, 2010, 10:36:21 PM »


Also Chinatown.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #15 on: September 14, 2010, 11:15:04 PM »


     Also many of the N>50% precincts have sizeable Asian populations.
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Alcon
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« Reply #16 on: September 15, 2010, 02:40:15 AM »


You see that sea of N>50 with a few Y>50?  It's Outer Sunset.  It's got a lot of Asians, and several of the precincts will probably be even older and even more Asian in a midterm.  It would just surprise me if pot swept the area.  Several of the N>50s were very marginal victories.  Chinatown is a similar deal.

Unless the measure does way better among culturally conservative blacks than gay rights performs, it's hard to imagine that all of the Southeast SF precincts (some of which were rather heavily "Yes") will flip.  There are just a lot of culturally conservative SF precincts, and they're fairly diverse, so it's hard to see pot managing a large enough uniform swing to take them all.
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