TN-08: Internal Fincher (R) poll shows him far ahead in open-seat race
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Author Topic: TN-08: Internal Fincher (R) poll shows him far ahead in open-seat race  (Read 1146 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 18, 2010, 02:08:59 PM »
The Tarrance Group (R) for the Stephen Fincher campaign:

47% - Stephen Fincher (R)
37% - Roy Herron (D)
  5% - Donn Janes (I)

Aug. 9-10, 400 LV, MoE = 4.9%

The two men seek to replace retiring Democratic U.S. Rep. John Tanner in a race that was billed as the most expensive U.S. House primary and a closely watched race in the general election.

The poll also asked those surveyed about the race for Tennessee governor. Democratic candidate Mike McWherter and Republican candidate Bill Haslam were tied, each receiving 45 percent.

http://www.jacksonsun.com/article/20100818/NEWS01/8180318
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2010, 06:25:01 PM »
Fincher will probably win this one due to Obama's unpopularity, but it probably will be close (in the 5-10% margin range). The Dems have a respectable candidate here who appeals to locals much better than Obama, and thus the Democratic candidate here will probably get at least 45%.
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timmer123
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« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2010, 11:23:00 PM »
Strong Republican candidate.  Strong Republican year.  Strongly anti-Obama state.

Not good for Roy Herron.  Fincher will win
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ajc0918
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« Reply #3 on: August 18, 2010, 11:24:11 PM »
I thought Herron was leading in a poll a while back? Maybe I'm wrong...

Anyway, good for Fincher.
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Dgov
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« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2010, 11:47:37 PM »
This is a big "Clinton Democrat" district, so i wouldn't be surprised if the Democrats lost this seat.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #5 on: August 19, 2010, 07:07:17 AM »
I hope Herron wins. and I think he will finally pull it off.
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timmer123
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« Reply #6 on: August 19, 2010, 11:42:30 PM »
It may have been a "Clinton/Gore Democrat district" 14 years ago, but I bet neither of then could get 45% of the vote there.

We probably wont see any polling on it, but I wouldn't be surprised if we win TN 04 too, for a total gain of three seats from Tennessee.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #7 on: August 19, 2010, 11:47:05 PM »
Quote from: timmer123 on August 19, 2010, 11:42:30 PM
It may have been a "Clinton/Gore Democrat district" 14 years ago, but I bet neither of then could get 45% of the vote there.
Obama got 43% of the vote there. You dont think Clinton could do 2 points better?
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #8 on: August 20, 2010, 12:01:37 AM »
Anyone think Tanner could have held on here?
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Dgov
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« Reply #9 on: August 20, 2010, 05:24:45 AM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on August 20, 2010, 12:01:37 AM
Anyone think Tanner could have held on here?

Yes, by a huge margin too.  He was very popular there.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #10 on: August 20, 2010, 09:13:53 AM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on August 20, 2010, 12:01:37 AM
Anyone think Tanner could have held on here?

With more than 70%
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JoeyJoeJoe
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« Reply #11 on: August 27, 2010, 07:55:07 AM »
When Tanner first won, in 1988, he got something like 72% I think, defeating future Rep. Ed Bryant.
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