Senate Races 2006. (user search)
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Author Topic: Senate Races 2006.  (Read 55804 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,724
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« on: November 05, 2004, 05:40:24 PM »

If PA-4 is an open seat in 2006, Heinz wins it. Probably as convincingly as Hart did in 2000.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2004, 06:25:56 PM »

If PA-4 is an open seat in 2006, Heinz wins it. Probably as convincingly as Hart did in 2000.

How? Named ID alone isn't how you win an election. Yeah it helps but that doesn't seal the deal.

Perfect example: PA 17. PATERNO vs. Holden

Actually that was more like PATERNO vs HOLDEN. Voting out one of the best constituency reps in Congress is plain daft.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2004, 06:44:37 PM »

If PA-4 is an open seat in 2006, Heinz wins it. Probably as convincingly as Hart did in 2000.

How? Named ID alone isn't how you win an election. Yeah it helps but that doesn't seal the deal.

Perfect example: PA 17. PATERNO vs. Holden

Actually that was more like PATERNO vs HOLDEN. Voting out one of the best constituency reps in Congress is plain daft.

You didn't answer my question, did you?

Name ID favored Paterno. People across PA know that name especially those in PA 17. I didn't ask you your opinion on whether or not it was a good idea to vote out Holden.

The two are related ;-)

You'd have made a better point, if you'd used the example of Nick Clooney losing... although even then it doesn't quite translate... KY-4 is a naturally Republican district that had a Dem rep who retired. PA-4 is a naturally Democratic (albeit socially conservative) district. Name recogniton mighten't matter a great deal, but it's enough to push you over the top.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2004, 05:35:09 PM »

or a majority in the PA Congressional delegation...

The PA Republicans *did* gerrymander the hell of the state y'know...
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2004, 05:42:40 PM »

or a majority in the PA Congressional delegation...

The PA Republicans *did* gerrymander the hell of the state y'know...

...and before that they still had a majority ya know...

What was it... one seat? Two? No more than that. PA's Congressional Delagation was very close for most of the '90's.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2004, 05:46:58 PM »

or a majority in the PA Congressional delegation...

The PA Republicans *did* gerrymander the hell of the state y'know...

...and before that they still had a majority ya know...

What was it... one seat? Two? No more than that. PA's Congressional Delagation was very close for most of the '90's.

My point was with the advantage the Dems have they were never able to overcome the GOP advantage in the delegation no matter how small it was.

After the '98 election the Dems had (IIRC) a one seat advantage in PA.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2004, 05:53:21 PM »

You're right. I stand corrected. It didn't last very long though.

Isn't it amazing how quickly PA takes over threads? Oh well. Local stuff is usually interesting.
Any amusing scandels in Philly recently?

I doubt anything can beat "the scaffolding needs to be restored"
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2004, 06:07:18 PM »

Where would Philly be without grotesque corruption? Oh... I see... a better place... but still... it's a Tradition. Been going on for about 200 years and Philly is still in a better shape than Camden ;-)
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