Which State results do you find the most surprising ? (user search)
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  Which State results do you find the most surprising ? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which State results do you find the most surprising ?  (Read 5167 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: August 08, 2010, 05:12:47 AM »
Of every presidential election, what are the States which voted in a way that surprised you ?

Maybe this thread will manage to replace all the "[insert State], [insert election year]"  we have there. Wink

As for me, I already mentioned Iowa in 1988 (I know about the farm crisis, but it was literally the second best democratic State !). I still have to think for other States, but there are certainly plenty of surprising results.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2010, 05:50:32 AM »
Oh, I knew I had another one in mind : Louisiana 1996.

Why the hell this democratic trend ? Whereas the entire South was trending republican, Louisiana went from Rep+1 to Dem+4 compared to the national margin...
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2010, 09:32:03 AM »
Also, why was Oregon so republican in 1996 and 2000 ? In a tied race, it would have gone for Dole and Bush...
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2010, 04:34:35 AM »
Also, why was Texas so close in 1988 and 1992 when Bush was running, and then trended solidly rep in 1996 when he wasn't ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2010, 05:14:53 PM »
Quote from: Disgruntled Democrat on August 17, 2010, 05:08:39 PM
Quote from: Antonio V on August 17, 2010, 04:34:35 AM
Also, why was Texas so close in 1988 and 1992 when Bush was running, and then trended solidly rep in 1996 when he wasn't ?

Bentsen and Perot?

True, you must be right. Still, a rather counter-intuitive trend.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2010, 06:15:55 AM »
Also, what's the matter with Tennessee in 1984 ? Reagan carried it by only 16 points (against 21 in KY, 22 in AL, 24 in MS, 24 in NC, etc...). Excluding WV, it was the only Southern State Mondale would have carried in a tied election. How comes ?
Also, it's not for nothing that it was the only State to swing rep in 1988.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,174
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #6 on: November 26, 2010, 01:17:18 PM »
Bump. This thread can still be useful.
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