Which State results do you find the most surprising ?

[DS0816]

1940 Michigan: voting for Wendell Wilkie, instead of a 3rd term, for Franklin Roosevelt

2008 Arkansas: shifting 10 points Republican (while the nation shifted 10 points Democratic), thanks to Barack Obama getting 39% of female vote (compared to John Kerry being one point within winning them, 49% in 2004).

[DS0816]

Here's a WTF.…

2008 Missouri: After George W. Bush won it by 7.2%, John McCain held it narrowly by 0.13%. It was one of three states held by the losing Republican in which Barack Obama won the female vote. But how strange it is that men were so generous to give Obama 48% support but the females piqued at 50% — hence, making it impossible to be called after the 11 p.m. ET mark in which Obama was projected to become the 44th president of the United States.

Of the 2008 Democratic pickups, Iowa and North Carolina saw Obama win 55% of the female vote. Not surprising with Ia., because it's been trending as a reliable bellwether — producing margins closely reflecting the national vote — but for N.C. much more generous than Mo. is really something.