Which State results do you find the most surprising ?
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  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Which State results do you find the most surprising ?
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Author Topic: Which State results do you find the most surprising ?  (Read 5147 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #25 on: November 26, 2010, 01:17:18 PM »

Bump. This thread can still be useful.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #26 on: November 28, 2010, 08:00:42 PM »

2008-Indiana and North Carolina. Virginia was expected but still an achievement for the dems.
1996 Arizona to Clinton
1988 Dukakis margin in Iowa being stronger then Clinton's in the 90s.
1984 Massachusetts for Reagan
1980 Massachusetts for Reagan-Anderson taking a large chuck of the vote and splitting it.
1976 Ohio for Carter and the razor thin margin. (Carter beating Ford.) Ford almost winning Mississippi despite Carter trouncing him in the deep south.
1972 McGovern losing South Dakota his home state and the margin of his loss. Yet wins Ma.
1964 The massive I mean massive Goldwater margin out of Mississippi. Its understandable he would win but 87% of the vote, that has to be a record.
1960 Nixon losing Nevada and New Mexico despite being the western candidate. Barely winning his home state as well. LOL.
1956 Stevenson winning Missouri?? WTF
1948 Trumans razor thin win here in California despite winning the west strongly. Dewey winning Oregon
1936 Landon losing his home state and the margin

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rbt48
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« Reply #27 on: November 28, 2010, 08:14:36 PM »

The Truman win in CA in 1948 was probably narrow because the popular CA Governor, Earl Warren, was Dewey's running mate.  Really, in retrospect, how did a ticket with the NY and CA governors on it not win the Presidency?

Michigan reverting to Roosevelt in 1944 after he lost it in 1940 is surprising.  The soldier vote, which was rigged for FDR, made the difference.  My Dad was in the Army in Belgium for that election.  He said that troops were instructed to vote for FDR.  He remembered it vividly as he was a Republican.
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jfern
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« Reply #28 on: November 28, 2010, 08:17:42 PM »

The Truman win in CA in 1948 was probably narrow because the popular CA Governor, Earl Warren, was Dewey's running mate.  Really, in retrospect, how did a ticket with the NY and CA governors on it not win the Presidency?

Moderate heroes playing it safe can manage to lose a sure thing. Just like Obama probably will lose in 2012.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #29 on: November 28, 2010, 10:22:47 PM »

Ah ok then so 1948 makes even less sense to me now. Shouldn't Dewey have won California with Earl Warren? After all in those days it was more of a competitive state and not as democratic as it is today.
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DS0816
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« Reply #30 on: November 29, 2010, 04:34:34 AM »

Here's a WTF.…

2008 Missouri: After George W. Bush won it by 7.2%, John McCain held it narrowly by 0.13%. It was one of three states held by the losing Republican in which Barack Obama won the female vote. But how strange it is that men were so generous to give Obama 48% support but the females piqued at 50% — hence, making it impossible to be called after the 11 p.m. ET mark in which Obama was projected to become the 44th president of the United States.

Of the 2008 Democratic pickups, Iowa and North Carolina saw Obama win 55% of the female vote. Not surprising with Ia., because it's been trending as a reliable bellwether — producing margins closely reflecting the national vote — but for N.C. much more generous than Mo. is really something.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #31 on: May 05, 2015, 09:22:40 AM »

2012: FL for Obama
2008: IN, NC for Obama
2004: none
2000: IA, NM for Gore
1996: KY for Clinton
1992: NH for Clinton
1988: none
1984: MA, RI, MD for Reagan
1980: TN, AR, MA for Reagan
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