When will Texas become a swing state?

[albaleman]

Sometime around 2030. A lot of the demographic trends are headed in the right direction, but it will definitely take time.

[albaleman]

I would say it won't become a swing state because the GOP will come to its senses and start trying to attract Latino voters again.

Am I being hopelessly optimistic?

Yes you are, because if they tried to they'd be accused of selling out by Rush Limbaugh and all his buddies.

[albaleman]

When will Texas become a swing state?

… 2012.

That is so comically bad, it's going in the Hackery Goldmine.

In 2006, wouldn't have most people laughed off the idea that Obama is going to win Virginia and Indiana only two years later?

At this point, I certainly wouldn't bet a dime on Texas going Democratic in '12. I'm just saying that things sometimes change rather quickly and dramatic.

I have to agree with Old Europe on this one.  I mean if the internet existed in 1982 how many of us would take predictions that Reagan would win Rhode Island without the presence of a strong third party candidate seriously?

The question is not whether Texas will vote Democratic in 2012, which is possible if the economy gets SIGNIFICANTLY better and/or the Republicans nominate a nut like Palin. The question is, when will it become a swing state? That will take much longer.

[albaleman]

Texas elects people nuttier than Palin all the time.

Still, in a big anti-Palin landslide, there's a respectable chance it could go Democratic.

[albaleman]

Man, you guys are way off topic in this thread. It has nothing to do with Palin, and somebody decides to bring her in.  Wow, all bunch of DEM hackjobs.

No, what I'm saying is that, if Palin is nominated and/or the economy gets much better, Texas could vote for the Dems. That doesn't make it a swing state.