When will Texas become a swing state?

[Applezz]

It's pretty simple. A lot of it has to do with the political atmosphere. According in a Rasmussen Reports poll in September 2010, 61% of the state disapproves of Obama. RR is pretty accurate in recent years. 61% is in the range of Bush 04 despite the fact that it was his home son. McCain got 55% in a year Obama got 53% nationwide. Had Obama got 60% nationwide, he probably would have carried Texas. If McCain won the election nationwide, with a better performance than Bush in 04, he deff would have gotten over 60% in Texas. Assuming the Hispanic trend continues with Democrats getting over 60% of the hispanic vote, I would say maybe in two-three decades Texas would get similar results with the nationwide electorate. For example, if a Democrat wins nationwide with 51%, he/she would win Texas. It's like how Obama won Virginia with 53%, same percentage as nationwide.