SC: Rasmussen: Demint the clear frontrunner
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Author Topic: SC: Rasmussen: Demint the clear frontrunner  (Read 1944 times)
Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« on: August 03, 2010, 11:58:32 AM »

New Poll: South Carolina Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-08-01

Summary: D: 20%, R: 62%, I: 7%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2010, 01:06:26 PM »

Poll the Green Party candidate.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2010, 10:47:59 PM »

If we didn't have a Governor's race as well, we wouldn't be getting any polls on the Senate race.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2010, 10:53:33 PM »

You're getting polls for the Senate race because of the novelty value of Greene's candidacy. If Rawl were the Dem nominee, the race wouldn't be polled. I'll even go so far as to say that Greene is a superior candidate to Rawl, for the simple reason that he will get the vast majority of the protest/joke votes, which otherwise would have gone either to DeMint, write-ins, or third parties.
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Dgov
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« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2010, 10:54:17 PM »

Wow.  For the Democrat to only poll 20% like that in a state that's almost 30% Black suggests that his unique "style" of campaigning is probably not going to catch on across the country.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2010, 10:56:49 PM »
« Edited: August 03, 2010, 10:59:55 PM by wormyguy »

Wow.  For the Democrat to only poll 20% like that in a state that's almost 30% Black suggests that his unique "style" of campaigning is probably not going to catch on across the country.

He's only getting 51% of the black vote. Against Jim DeMint.
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2010, 10:57:07 PM »

Rawl was trailing by only 7 points in one poll. This is an epic fail for the Democrats. Of course Greene is probably a plant.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #7 on: August 03, 2010, 11:01:18 PM »

Rawl was trailing by only 7 points in one poll. This is an epic fail for the Democrats. Of course Greene is probably a plant.

What poll was that? Daily Kos? An internal? Adults?*

*As opposed to registered or likely voters.
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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: August 03, 2010, 11:05:47 PM »

Rawl was trailing by only 7 points in one poll. This is an epic fail for the Democrats. Of course Greene is probably a plant.

What poll was that? Daily Kos? An internal? Adults?*

*As opposed to registered or likely voters.

Probably not that great of a poll, but still, it's pretty clear that Rawl was quite a bit more electable.
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Dgov
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« Reply #9 on: August 03, 2010, 11:09:14 PM »

Those cross tabs are incredible too.  DeMint is getting almost 80% of the White vote and about 20% of the Black vote.  If this stays (which is almost certainly will not, undecideds are going to break for Green), DeMint might just carry every county in the state outside of 70% Black Allendale
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SPC
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« Reply #10 on: August 03, 2010, 11:44:17 PM »

Rawl was trailing by only 7 points in one poll. This is an epic fail for the Democrats. Of course Greene is probably a plant.

That was an internal. And of all the primaries to place plants in, why would the GOP put one in South Carolina?!?!
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #11 on: August 03, 2010, 11:51:19 PM »

Rawl was trailing by only 7 points in one poll. This is an epic fail for the Democrats. Of course Greene is probably a plant.
Even if he was (which there is no evidence of at all), there was no ads, no campaigning, no fundraising. Nothing. Greene is the candidate not because the evil GOP screwed with the election, he is because 100,000 Democrats chose to let the alphabet decide who they voted for.
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xavier110
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« Reply #12 on: August 04, 2010, 01:06:11 AM »

Is Dgov a troll or a joke or something?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: August 04, 2010, 01:10:49 AM »

DeMint won't get more than 10% of the black vote at the end of the day.
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#CriminalizeSobriety
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« Reply #14 on: August 04, 2010, 01:15:01 AM »

I guess this dashes my hopes of Greene in 16...
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Dgov
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« Reply #15 on: August 04, 2010, 02:18:20 AM »

Is Dgov a troll or a joke or something?

Um No.  Look at the crosstabs:  it says 51% of Black support Green, with 32% more undecided.  Unless there's an "Undecided #2" option, DeMint is picking up 17% of the Black Vote using simple math.
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xavier110
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« Reply #16 on: August 04, 2010, 10:24:17 AM »

Is Dgov a troll or a joke or something?

Um No.  Look at the crosstabs:  it says 51% of Black support Green, with 32% more undecided.  Unless there's an "Undecided #2" option, DeMint is picking up 17% of the Black Vote using simple math.

LOL.

THIS IS NOT SHOCKING.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #17 on: August 04, 2010, 11:55:50 AM »

Is Dgov a troll or a joke or something?

Um No.  Look at the crosstabs:  it says 51% of Black support Green, with 32% more undecided.  Unless there's an "Undecided #2" option, DeMint is picking up 17% of the Black Vote using simple math.

On Election Day, DeMint will be happy to get 5% of Blacks.

The other question is: How many Blacks will turn out ... Tongue
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #18 on: August 06, 2010, 06:59:03 PM »

You're getting polls for the Senate race because of the novelty value of Greene's candidacy. If Rawl were the Dem nominee, the race wouldn't be polled.

All four of the polls in the database so far have been done in conjunction with a poll done for the Gubernatorial race.  Two of those were DeMint v. Rawl polls when it seemed obvious that Rawl would be the Democratic nominee. Even before Greene won the primary it was so obvious that DeMint was going to win, so that refutes your thesis.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #19 on: August 06, 2010, 07:42:27 PM »

Is Dgov a troll or a joke or something?

Um No.  Look at the crosstabs:  it says 51% of Black support Green, with 32% more undecided.  Unless there's an "Undecided #2" option, DeMint is picking up 17% of the Black Vote using simple math.

On Election Day, DeMint will be happy to get 5% of Blacks.

The other question is: How many Blacks will turn out ... Tongue

Since this is a Likely Voter poll, DeMint's percentage of Black support may be due to a decrease in Black Democrats planning on voting in this race.
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timmer123
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« Reply #20 on: August 06, 2010, 10:40:35 PM »

Is Dgov a troll or a joke or something?

Um No.  Look at the crosstabs:  it says 51% of Black support Green, with 32% more undecided.  Unless there's an "Undecided #2" option, DeMint is picking up 17% of the Black Vote using simple math.

On Election Day, DeMint will be happy to get 5% of Blacks.

The other question is: How many Blacks will turn out ... Tongue

I'll give you a hint, a LOT less than in 2008.
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