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January 15, 2021, 01:47:44 PM
News: Chaos in the capitol: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=422360

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: ON Progressive)
  OR, 1868
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« on: June 30, 2010, 02:05:11 PM »

How come Seymour won this state in 1868? It was typically a Republican state during this time, yet Grant (a popular war hero) managed to somehow lose it. How come?
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« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2010, 10:41:10 AM »

While Oregon was Republican, it wasn't overwhelmingly so.  Recall that OR senator Joseph Lane was Breckenridge's running mate in 1860, through Lincoln did barely carry the state with 36% of the vote.  Except for 1904, when Roosevelt got 67% of the vote, Republican margins in Presidential elections were normally just over 50% (though they did carry the state 10 straight times from 1872 to 1908). http://members.cox.net/rbt48/weather/Presidential_Elections/Oregon_pv.pdf But during the Civil War years, it was fairly evenly split, having been represented by Democrats in the Senate for most of the conflict. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Senators_from_Oregon

All that being said, Seymour's margin in 1868 was only 164 votes out of 22,086 cast, or a margin of 0.64%.  It's perhaps worth noting that Grant carried California by just 0.48%, so it seems his strength in the far West was not overwhelming.  As for Seymour's relatively good showings out West, I cannot explain them beyond what I have already presented here.
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