2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[Lunar]

my light reading of the situation in Wyoming was that Micheli was the one candidate that might not consolidate absolute GOP support after a primary, a pattern that has haunted Wyoming Republican candidates in the past [Democrats have done really well at this seat int he last 25 years IIRC].

In this year, it probs won't matter, but that's all I know

He'd only chase away the neocon types. Basically, Meyer's base.

Why is being a neocon, or lack thereof, remotely relevant to being governor of one of possibly the least populous, most internationally isolated states in the United States?

[cinyc]

64/486 in:
WY Gov D (Gosar blue, Petersen green):


WY Gov R  (Mead blue, Myer green, Micheli red):

[Mr. Morden]

Yeah, it just bumped up to 61 precincts in. Meyer by a handful of votes over Mead and Micheli.

Yep.  Meyer 30%, Mead 29%, Micheli 28%.  Essentially, a 3-way tie, but that's still with less than 15% of precincts reporting.

EDIT: And just as I was posting, Mead took the lead.

[cinyc]

Peterson is killing in Teton.  The Republican map continues to get more colorful:
 
WY Gov D:


WY Gov R:


*84/486 reporting

[cinyc]

Assuming my spreadsheet isn't buggy, in the first full county in, Washakie, Democratic Gov turnout is running about 36% of registered Democrats as of early August.  Republican Gov turnout is running about double that - 65%.  So 2:1.

[cinyc]

With about 30% in, Peterson leads by 4 and Mead by 0.2 points over Myer.

WY Dem Gov Gosar blue, Petersen green):


WY Gov R (Mead blue, Myer green, Micheli red):


(Platte is an exact Mead-Myer tie, but is colored blue because he's listed first).

Percent of each county reporting (darker=more)

[cinyc]

Meyer snuck back into the lead with 202/468.  The Republican map looks even more colorful, with Simpson leading in Park.  Petersen's lead is more or less unchanged.



Four counties are now fully in (Sublette, Platte, Sweetwater and Washakie).  So far, Democratic turnout is at 46%.  Republican turnout at 65%.

[redcommander]

Meyer is now less than 1% behind Mead

[cinyc]

Meyer is now less than 1% behind Mead

Petersen is up by 7 and probably has it.  Meyer versus Mead should be interesting.  The Republican map looks like a rainbow.   Natrona (Casper) is now all in.

[cinyc]

... and now Micheli takes the lead.  ALL Republicans are under 30%.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Here's the official SOS site for Washington.

[Mr. Morden]

With only ~15,000 votes in:

Murray 45%
Rossi 35%
Didier 13%

[cinyc]

Republican map 285/486:



The pattern is clear - Micheli's winning the SW corner, Simpson, Park County, Mead, Teton County and some rural counties, and Meyer the rest - especially the counties containing Cheyenne and Casper.

[redcommander]

Wow Rossi might come in first in the primary.

[cinyc]

Wow Rossi might come in first in the primary.

Even ahead of M. The Mover and Goodspaceguy?

[SvenssonRS]

I love how AP's still only reporting three precinct in Uinta - a county with eleven precincts.

[Sam Spade]

WA-3 is a mess, but for now its Herrera, then Heck.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

After a little eyeballing, it looks like Murray's doing about 5-10 points worse than her 2004 performance (55%). If this were to continue at this rate, she'd end up at about 45-48% of the vote.

[cinyc]

I love how AP's still only reporting three precinct in Uinta - a county with eleven precincts.

Well, even the county's website is only up to 5 of 11.   The AP will catch up.

[CultureKing]

Warning!:
Remember that generally Washington results come quickly from rural areas, then the puget sound area and often times Seattle comes last (often by days, which is maddening). Perhaps it is because many dems are last minute voters...

oh and I love that this is the message from the Sec of State's website, right as polls close:
VOTE.WA.GOV is currently down for system maintenance and should be available shortly. Please check back later.

[bgwah]

After a little eyeballing, it looks like Murray's doing about 5-10 points worse than her 2004 performance (55%). If this were to continue at this rate, she'd end up at about 45-48% of the vote.

Comparing it to a general? Interesting. She got ~48% in the 1998 primary and ended up with about ~58% in the general.

[Mr. Morden]

They might as well call the WY-Dem race for Petersen.  71%, and he leads by 8 points.  Gosar has no chance.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Also, the Palin magic touch continues. Didier is winning... Adams County.

[cinyc]

They might as well call the WY-Dem race for Petersen.  71%, and he leads by 8 points.  Gosar has no chance.

Unless Gosar is from Gillette, Rawlins or Buffalo, yes, he's toast.

[CultureKing]

Currently Cowlitz and Lewis are the two counties reporting out of WA-03. Castillo is getting mauled by Herrera in Cowlitz... Also explains Heck's low numbers.