Hawaii Special Election Predictions
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 16, 2024, 09:37:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Hawaii Special Election Predictions
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: Who will win the special election to replace retiring Representative Neil Abercrombie?
#1
Charles Djou
 
#2
Colleen Hanabusa
 
#3
Ed Case
 
#4
Another candidate
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 48

Author Topic: Hawaii Special Election Predictions  (Read 6415 times)
redcommander
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,816
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 20, 2010, 06:29:17 PM »

Djou.
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2010, 06:33:04 PM »

Djou.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 20, 2010, 06:58:19 PM »

90% of the responses are going to be Djou, so how about guessing percentages?

I'll say:

Djou - 39
Case - 27
Hanabusa - 26
Others - 8
Logged
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 20, 2010, 07:11:21 PM »

Charles Djou. BTW, is he Chinese?
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 20, 2010, 07:16:14 PM »


Nope. German.
Logged
Franzl
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,254
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 20, 2010, 07:17:58 PM »


Damn. I thought he was Italian.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,990
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 20, 2010, 08:03:38 PM »


He's actually from Ffestiniog, you know.

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,201
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 21, 2010, 01:22:19 AM »

I predict an upset win for Case.

Case: 33%
Djou: 32%
Hanabusa: 29%
Others: 6%

We´ll see ...
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,431
Colombia


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 21, 2010, 06:34:50 AM »


And not Plounévez-Lochrist? How can you be sure?
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,173
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 21, 2010, 06:53:16 AM »

I predict an upset win for Case.

Case: 33%
Djou: 32%
Hanabusa: 29%
Others: 6%

We´ll see ...

For many Democrats that would be the worst case scenario (no pun intended).
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 21, 2010, 08:55:25 AM »

I predict an upset win for Case.

Case: 33%
Djou: 32%
Hanabusa: 29%
Others: 6%

We´ll see ...

For what it's worth, if anyone underpolls like that, it'll be Hanabusa. Japanese voters are notorious for refusing to answer polling (even to tell a pollster their demographic information, let alone voting preferences), but of course they will be the core of her vote.
Logged
rbt48
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,060


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 21, 2010, 09:16:24 AM »


And not Plounévez-Lochrist? How can you be sure?
No, no.  He is clearly of Moldavian ancestry.  

I'll guess
Djou - 40
Hanabusa - 30
Case - 27
Others - 3
Logged
rbt48
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,060


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 21, 2010, 09:29:15 AM »

Ah, "Charles' surname "Djou" is a French transcription of his Chinese surname 'Zhou.' "

And, at least 80% of his family appear to be extremely happy:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Family_photo_9-21-08.jpg.jpg
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,990
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 21, 2010, 09:32:03 AM »

Predictions, I don't know. But I do hope that Head Case comes third.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,108
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 21, 2010, 09:46:18 AM »

Here is a story about how much the Dem politicians in Hawaii really don't like each other - at all. If Case gets the Dem nomination in November, I wonder if the two Hawaii Senators will work to tank him. After all, Inouye has worked for Republicans before - like Senator Stevens. And whether he does or not, will Japanese American voters in Hawaii feel alienated this November, a group that tends to have a soft spot for incumbents anyway?

I have no idea how much Djou will get either in the special, but for the heck of it I will say 40%.  
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: May 21, 2010, 01:55:41 PM »

djou gets about 40%.  Other 2 dems get about equal.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,974
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: May 21, 2010, 03:20:33 PM »

Djou 38
Case 32
Hasa 30
Logged
Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: May 22, 2010, 01:25:09 AM »

Ah, "Charles' surname "Djou" is a French transcription of his Chinese surname 'Zhou.' "

And, at least 80% of his family appear to be extremely happy:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Family_photo_9-21-08.jpg.jpg


So I was right. He is Chinese. You guys were just messing with me.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: May 22, 2010, 01:27:43 AM »

Ah, "Charles' surname "Djou" is a French transcription of his Chinese surname 'Zhou.' "

And, at least 80% of his family appear to be extremely happy:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Family_photo_9-21-08.jpg.jpg


So I was right. He is Chinese. You guys were just messing with me.

We would never do such a thing.
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,807
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: May 22, 2010, 05:13:12 AM »

Case: 34%
Djou:33.5%
Hanabusa:29%
Others: 3.5%
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,431
Colombia


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: May 22, 2010, 07:51:04 AM »

Ah, "Charles' surname "Djou" is a French transcription of his Chinese surname 'Zhou.' "

And, at least 80% of his family appear to be extremely happy:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Family_photo_9-21-08.jpg.jpg


So I was right. He is Chinese. You guys were just messing with me.

You're the one who asked a retarded question.
Logged
Franzl
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,254
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: May 22, 2010, 07:55:26 AM »

So he's not Italian?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,492
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: May 22, 2010, 08:09:54 AM »

Hopefully, an ujpset win for Ed Case.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,108
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: May 22, 2010, 08:13:43 AM »

Djou needs to move to northern Idaho to run. Tongue
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,431
Colombia


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: May 22, 2010, 08:28:25 AM »


No, but he sure is at least part Breton. His name is likely short for Djouadec, a typical Breton name.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.057 seconds with 13 queries.