FL: Rasmussen: Crist loses his lead
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  FL: Rasmussen: Crist loses his lead
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Author Topic: FL: Rasmussen: Crist loses his lead  (Read 1533 times)
Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« on: May 17, 2010, 10:57:13 AM »

New Poll: Florida Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-5-16

Summary: D: 18%, R: 39%, I: 31%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2010, 11:56:21 AM »

Crist had a lead?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2010, 12:16:40 PM »


According to Mason-Dixon which you said was the best Florida pollster ever.

Also a 15 point or whatever swing here seems kind of unlikely.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2010, 12:28:41 PM »

I did like Crist's last Rasmussen lead, but why does it seem like Ras' polls swing so violently. It's kinda crazy.  Crist went from leading independents by 12 to only by 3 in two weeks? But on the plus side, this poll does continue to show the deterioration of Meek.
Who knows...
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Saxwsylvania
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2010, 12:45:05 PM »

I did like Crist's last Rasmussen lead, but why does it seem like Ras' polls swing so violently. It's kinda crazy.  Crist went from leading independents by 12 to only by 3 in two weeks? But on the plus side, this poll does continue to show the deterioration of Meek.
Who knows...

The only candidate who has deteriorated is Crist, if the poll is accurate.  I guess people don't think that not refunding people's money is as principled and independent as you think it is.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2010, 01:22:41 PM »


According to Mason-Dixon which you said was the best Florida pollster ever.

Also a 15 point or whatever swing here seems kind of unlikely.

Being up by 6 points as an Independent when you don't have overwhelming support from one of the parties is not a lead.
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Umengus
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« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2010, 01:45:37 PM »

The poll with crist leading was crap. Back to reality. Rubio will win, no doubt.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2010, 02:27:10 PM »

I suspect that like Schlesinger, Meeks will fade to around 10% as the general election draws near, and most of that fade will go to Crist  I also think that those undecideds who actually vote will break slightly more to Crist than to Rubio.  So I see this poll as indicating a slight advantage to Crist, but within the MoE, and outside the MoE if one assumes this poll is an outlier.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2010, 03:32:56 PM »

Where will Crist be on the ballot?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2010, 03:33:40 PM »

Where will Crist be on the ballot?

We won't know that until quite a while yet.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2010, 05:21:24 PM »

The poll with crist leading was crap. Back to reality. Rubio will win, no doubt.

lol.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2010, 09:39:19 PM »

Is that the hissing of air flowing out of a balloon, I hear.


Come on Meek, its your move, drive that slimebag to third place. An ad with Bush, highlight his few Conservative positions, would do the trick and get Dems back in line.
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Torie
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« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2010, 09:44:28 PM »

The thought that Crist will get more GOP oriented votes than Meek will get Dem oriented ones, strikes me as well - implausible. Whatever.
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« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2010, 09:50:05 PM »

It seems like Rubio will probably get low 40s. The numbers for Meeker and Crist will be more dynamic.
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perdedor
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« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2010, 10:42:41 PM »

It's sad to think that so many Florida Democrats think there will be a substantive difference (from a progressive perspective) between having Crist or Rubio in the Senate.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #15 on: May 18, 2010, 05:58:44 AM »

It's sad to think that so many Florida Democrats think there will be a substantive difference (from a progressive perspective) between having Crist or Rubio in the Senate.

There's certainly a difference between having Lieberman and a random partisan Democrat in the Senate.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #16 on: May 18, 2010, 03:54:52 PM »

This isn't too surprising. It will be hard for Crist to beat Rubio with the GOP behind him unless Meek drops out and makes Crist the de facto Democrat candidate.
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Mjh
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« Reply #17 on: May 19, 2010, 01:31:09 PM »

Has Crist declared which party he will caucus with if he wins?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #18 on: May 19, 2010, 02:55:16 PM »

Has Crist declared which party he will caucus with if he wins?

No, and he won't, since it automatically alienates a share of the voters he needs to win.
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