Scottish Parliamentary Elections (May 5, 2011)
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Author Topic: Scottish Parliamentary Elections (May 5, 2011)  (Read 47334 times)
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #275 on: May 01, 2011, 02:47:16 PM »
What are the chances of the Liberals becoming Scotland's 5th party?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #276 on: May 02, 2011, 04:10:43 AM »
60%.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #277 on: May 02, 2011, 05:40:17 AM »
That's in terms of list vote. Constituency vote, no chance. Number of seats, no chance.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #278 on: May 02, 2011, 11:52:11 AM »
From an article in the Grauniad...

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afleitch
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« Reply #279 on: May 02, 2011, 12:11:11 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on May 02, 2011, 11:52:11 AM
From an article in the Grauniad...

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Roll Eyes

My partisan head would scold Labour for such rubbish, but my non partisan head would scold the Grauniad. Of course, the Lib Dems notionally hold no seats in 'the Borders' out of a whopping 2 to choose from.

I also think the media have been paying too much attention to 'ScotlandVotes'; the polls (even the not so good one from YouGov) have the SNP making huge gains in the constituencies which won't happen. Betting markets have the SNP gaining 8 and Labour gaining 4 for example.

If Labour can mitigate losses, then a larger lead for the SNP than in 2007 will allow the SNP to sweep the board in the top up seats while Labour will fail to pick up regional seats except in rural Scotland. If the Lib Dems keep their head above the water and more importantly, above the Greens then the maths will be hard on the 5th party.

The best the SNP can hope for is a 5+ seat lead over Labour. Even less than that would do.

Will be interesting to see where the party leaders will be visiting in the final two days.
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redcommander
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« Reply #280 on: May 02, 2011, 06:21:21 PM »
« Edited: May 02, 2011, 06:23:34 PM by SayNotoJonHuntsman »
It looks like Clegg has destroyed the Lib Dems as a political force everywhere in the UK.
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afleitch
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« Reply #281 on: May 03, 2011, 06:26:48 AM »
Follow the leaders...

Alex Salmond in in Dundee, Tavish Scott is in Edinburgh, Annabel Goldie in Eastwood and Iain Gray in Airdie and Shotts
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afleitch
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« Reply #282 on: May 03, 2011, 11:43:43 AM »
TNS-BRMB Poll

SNP 45/38
LAB 27/25
CON 15/16
LIB 10/9
GRN -/8
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #283 on: May 03, 2011, 11:50:58 AM »
Bangor City beat them the other day and took their title as well.
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Serenity Now
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« Reply #284 on: May 03, 2011, 11:56:28 AM »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on May 03, 2011, 11:50:58 AM
Bangor City beat them the other day and took their title as well.

Huh
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #285 on: May 03, 2011, 12:59:14 PM »
Corzine +9.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #286 on: May 03, 2011, 01:00:23 PM »
So, is there a list of the times when the seats are expected to declare?
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Dancing with Myself
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« Reply #287 on: May 03, 2011, 01:12:17 PM »
Will the election night coverage be on BBC?
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #288 on: May 03, 2011, 01:16:02 PM »
Quote from: Imperial Speaker tb75 on May 03, 2011, 01:12:17 PM
Will the election night coverage be on BBC?

Yes, but coverage will vary by region, I imagine.
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afleitch
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« Reply #289 on: May 03, 2011, 01:50:41 PM »
Quote from: C. Monty Burns on May 03, 2011, 01:00:23 PM
So, is there a list of the times when the seats are expected to declare?

Not sure; Hamilton is expected to declare first or possibly Paisley.
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #290 on: May 03, 2011, 03:30:59 PM »
Holyrood constituency: CON 15%(-2), LAB 27%(-6), LDEM 10%(-7), SNP 45%(+11)
Holyrood regional: CON 16%(+2), LAB 25%(-4), LDEM 9%(-2), SNP 38%(+7), Green 8%(+4)

From TNS
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afleitch
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« Reply #291 on: May 03, 2011, 05:35:57 PM »
The Scotsman, the most traditionally unionist of the newspapers in Scotland has came out in favour of the SNP
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afleitch
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« Reply #292 on: May 04, 2011, 09:26:44 AM »
Alex Salmond is visiting Shettleston today to help SNP candidate John Mason.

Make of that what you will...
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #293 on: May 04, 2011, 11:55:59 AM »
Last YouGov Poll:

Constituency:

SNP - 42%
Labour - 35%
Tories - 11%
Lib Dems - 8%

Regional:

SNP - 35%
Labour - 32%
Tories - 13%
Lib Dems - 7%
Greens - 6%
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afleitch
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« Reply #294 on: May 04, 2011, 05:27:04 PM »
Worth noting that after the election, regardless of the result the Parliament will have to meet to elect a Presiding Officer. It's Labour's turn to nominate (after Steel, Reid and Fergusson) Hugh Henry appears to be the favourite.
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afleitch
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« Reply #295 on: May 05, 2011, 03:02:50 PM »
Turnout in my part of Blantyre appeared to be pretty good when I voted after 6.
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Dancing with Myself
tb75
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« Reply #296 on: May 05, 2011, 03:55:54 PM »
Does anyone know where i can watch this online. My cable company does not have BBC
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afleitch
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« Reply #297 on: May 05, 2011, 03:58:31 PM »
Quote from: Imperial Speaker tb75 on May 05, 2011, 03:55:54 PM
Does anyone know where i can watch this online. My cable company does not have BBC

STV are streaming live 'across the world' apparently

http://news.stv.tv/election-2011/live/
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #298 on: May 05, 2011, 04:02:10 PM »
Quote from: afleitch on May 05, 2011, 03:58:31 PM
Quote from: Imperial Speaker tb75 on May 05, 2011, 03:55:54 PM
Does anyone know where i can watch this online. My cable company does not have BBC

STV are streaming live 'across the world' apparently

http://news.stv.tv/election-2011/live/

STV doesn't have David Dimbleby
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Dancing with Myself
tb75
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« Reply #299 on: May 05, 2011, 04:30:43 PM »
Quote from: afleitch on May 05, 2011, 03:58:31 PM
Quote from: Imperial Speaker tb75 on May 05, 2011, 03:55:54 PM
Does anyone know where i can watch this online. My cable company does not have BBC

STV are streaming live 'across the world' apparently

http://news.stv.tv/election-2011/live/

I want to watch BBC's/ But I will watch if I have too
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