UK Election - Results Thread
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Author Topic: UK Election - Results Thread  (Read 82742 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1175 on: May 08, 2010, 10:07:09 PM »



A bigger picture may be found here.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1176 on: May 09, 2010, 04:17:10 AM »

I wouldn't have thought it before the election, what with the new boundaries. Why did the Respect vote hold up so well here when it collapsed on the East End?

Yaqoob is an important player in local politics and has ties to the Birmingham Central Mosque. Respect in Birmingham is essentially her personality cult party.

Plus, Godsiff has offended too many Muslim voters. With a decent Labour candidate, Respect would probably have receded as elsewhere.
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« Reply #1177 on: May 09, 2010, 08:24:31 AM »

In the City Council elections, Labour won the Springfield ward, Respect (actually Yaqoob herself) the Sparkbrook ward and the LibDems the Hall Green and Moseley & Kings Heath wards.

You ought to make a map, Al. Birmingham electoral maps is your area.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1178 on: May 09, 2010, 08:29:31 AM »

In the City Council elections, Labour won the Springfield ward, Respect (actually Yaqoob herself) the Sparkbrook ward and the LibDems the Hall Green and Moseley & Kings Heath wards.

You ought to make a map, Al. Birmingham electoral maps is your area.

I'll be making a lot of shaded maps of local election results; I'm not very well at the moment, and need cheering up. That wonderful city (and I say that in all seriousness) will be one of the first, of course.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1179 on: May 09, 2010, 10:17:20 AM »

Some help on party vote maps would be welcome; the trouble is that there's over six hundred constituencies and so many other interesting things to make maps of. If anyone's interested, I can draw up some pretty keys for the LibDems and Tories for other people to use. If anyone is interested in this, using Andrew's base map makes sense as it's nice and clear.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1180 on: May 09, 2010, 10:32:25 AM »

Some help on party vote maps would be welcome; the trouble is that there's over six hundred constituencies and so many other interesting things to make maps of. If anyone's interested, I can draw up some pretty keys for the LibDems and Tories for other people to use. If anyone is interested in this, using Andrew's base map makes sense as it's nice and clear.

Could you make a swing key that includes the main three partys, the NATs, Respect, the Greens, Independants and the N. Irish parties please?

I'll make a swing map.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1181 on: May 09, 2010, 12:05:47 PM »

Btw, while looking through the results I was surprised to see Beith's majority cut back so much. He won pretty comfortably, but that's looking like a worry for the LibDems when he (finally) retires. Of course maybe it's just overstretch; LibDem activists sent into longshot Hexham or totally wasted in Wansbeck and Blyth Valley.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1182 on: May 09, 2010, 12:09:28 PM »

Oh, and Austin Mitchell came close to losing in Grimsby. An interesting case of a personal vote vanishing and (probably) being replaced with a negative one. His own fault, mostly.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1183 on: May 09, 2010, 12:39:45 PM »

Sometimes you wonder how voters know these things... at St Albans, Labour lost the seat in 2005 and now collapsed completely while the LDs surged, and the seat now looks a legitimate target for them the next time around. How many people genuinely changed their minds, how many just stopped tactically voting for Labour, and how many have ESP and understood that the LDs were better placed to win despite being twenty points behind in 2005?
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Torie
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« Reply #1184 on: May 09, 2010, 01:57:42 PM »

I suppose there is no poll as to who swung and why.  I can't seem to find any such analysis on the net. The question regarding LD and minor party second preferences would also be interesting.
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Verily
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« Reply #1185 on: May 09, 2010, 02:00:23 PM »
« Edited: May 09, 2010, 02:16:17 PM by Verily »

Sometimes you wonder how voters know these things... at St Albans, Labour lost the seat in 2005 and now collapsed completely while the LDs surged, and the seat now looks a legitimate target for them the next time around. How many people genuinely changed their minds, how many just stopped tactically voting for Labour, and how many have ESP and understood that the LDs were better placed to win despite being twenty points behind in 2005?

The LDs have massive majorities on all the local councils (St Albans, Three Rivers, Watford), so there is some naturally tendency towards them and away from Labour in the absence of Labour incumbents. Expect the Labour vote to collapse in Watford at the next election like it did in St Albans.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1186 on: May 09, 2010, 03:26:13 PM »

That random, unheard of, Indian Phone pollster was the closest. Who'd have guessed.

Also, the "Labour Lowest Share wins" rule, was broken.
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« Reply #1187 on: May 09, 2010, 03:38:05 PM »

That random, unheard of, Indian Phone pollster was the closest. Who'd have guessed.

Also, the "Labour Lowest Share wins" rule, was broken.

I suppose Angus Reid isn't going to be taken as seriously from now on....
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1188 on: May 09, 2010, 03:49:05 PM »

That random, unheard of, Indian Phone pollster was the closest. Who'd have guessed.

Also, the "Labour Lowest Share wins" rule, was broken.

I suppose Angus Reid isn't going to be taken as seriously from now on....

They were only being taken seriously by the hacks at PB.com anyway. I don't even wanna start on that foolish UNS spreadsheet PB.com produced. Tongue
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Torie
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« Reply #1189 on: May 09, 2010, 04:04:58 PM »

In the City Council elections, Labour won the Springfield ward, Respect (actually Yaqoob herself) the Sparkbrook ward and the LibDems the Hall Green and Moseley & Kings Heath wards.

You ought to make a map, Al. Birmingham electoral maps is your area.

I'll be making a lot of shaded maps of local election results; I'm not very well at the moment, and need cheering up. That wonderful city (and I say that in all seriousness) will be one of the first, of course.

What is "wonderful" about Birmingham to you AL?  I have never heard that city so described.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1190 on: May 10, 2010, 05:36:20 AM »

I don't think anyone's done this on this thread yet, so... first figure is the percentage of the popular vote across the UK (not GB), the second is the percentage of seats won (ditto, includes Shinners, includes Thirsk & Malton as a Tory seat).

Con: 36.1, 47.2
Lab: 29.0, 39.7
LDem: 23.0, 8.7
DUP: 0.6, 1.2
SNP: 1.7, 0.9
SF: 0.6, 0.7
PC: 0.6, 0.4
SDLP: 0.4, 0.4
GP: 1, 0.1
AP: 0.1, 0.1
UKIP: 3.1, 0
BNP: 1.9, 0


What is "wonderful" about Birmingham to you AL?  I have never heard that city so described.

It's an acquired taste.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1191 on: May 10, 2010, 07:47:55 AM »

Tory and LibDem keys for anyone interested:



I also have a Labour one (which I'm using right now) and a pretty purple SNP one.

These aren't my 'normal' colours and with good reason; over 600 constituencies means that more shades are needed and well... yeah.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1192 on: May 10, 2010, 09:15:37 AM »

Just spotted...

Gulzaman Khan      Christian Party

polled 482 votes in Walsall South.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1193 on: May 10, 2010, 09:53:53 AM »

Just spotted...

Gulzaman Khan      Christian Party

polled 482 votes in Walsall South.

lolwalsall
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k-onmmunist
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« Reply #1194 on: May 10, 2010, 11:01:29 AM »

Just spotted...

Gulzaman Khan      Christian Party

polled 482 votes in Walsall South.

lolwalsall

My grandad comes from Walsall Cry
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1195 on: May 10, 2010, 11:46:31 AM »

Just spotted...

Gulzaman Khan      Christian Party

polled 482 votes in Walsall South.

lolwalsall

My grandad comes from Walsall Cry

lolyourgrandad
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sbane
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« Reply #1196 on: May 10, 2010, 01:34:58 PM »

Just spotted...

Gulzaman Khan      Christian Party

polled 482 votes in Walsall South.

Why was the Christian party running a Muslim candidate?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1197 on: May 10, 2010, 01:38:40 PM »
« Edited: May 10, 2010, 01:43:46 PM by the Pooka MacPhellimey »

Just spotted...

Gulzaman Khan      Christian Party

polled 482 votes in Walsall South.

Why was the Christian party running a Muslim candidate?
No idea (maybe he's a convert, who knows. Or maybe the party is being infiltrated by Al Qaeda. Tongue ) There candidate at Nottingham East was Parvaiz Sardar.

EDIT: Oh wow. They have quite a few Muslim and Hindu names! (And, less surprisingly, quite a few West African ones.) Complete list:

Christian Party (71)
Louise Wynne-Jones (Aberconwy)
Juliana Brimicombe (Aldershot)
Sue Gray (Aldridge-Brownhills)
Charith Fernando (Birmingham Edgbaston)
Timothy Gray (Birmingham Erdington)
Deborah Hey-Smith (Birmingham Perry Barr)
Samuel Leeds (Birmingham Selly Oak)
George Hargreaves (Barking)
Steve Hewett (Bath)
Shafiq-Uz Zaman (Blackley and Broughton)
Jeffrey Green (Brecon and Radnorshire)
Errol Williams (Brent Central)
Aamir Bhatti (Brentford and Isleworth)
David Hews (Buckingham)
Derek Thomson (Cardiff North)
Clive Bate (Cardiff South)
Maureen Smith (Chatham and Aylesford)
Richard Sexton (Chippenham)
David Griffiths (Clwyd West)
James Gitau (Croydon Central)
Novlette Williams (Croydon North)
Paula Watson (Dagenham and Rainham)
Suzanne Fernandes (Ealing Central and Acton)
Petar Ljubisic (Ealing North)
Mehboob Anil (Ealing Southall)
Clive Morrison (Edmonton)
Anthony Williams (Enfield North)
Marion Johnson (Filton and Bradley Stoke)
David Walton (Gateshead)
Edward Adeleye (Greenwich and Woolwich)
Maxine Hargreaves (Hackney North and Stoke Newington)
John Williams (Hackney South and Shoreditch)
Oluyemi Adeeko (Harlow)
Aneel Shahzad (Hayes and Harlington)
Johnson Olukotun (Hornchurch and Upminster)
Steve Lyon (Horsham)
Donald Boyd (Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey)
Kim Christofi (Ipswich)
Ryan Hessell (Leigh)
Sonika Bhatti (Leyton and Wanstead)
Heidi Simmonds (Maidstone and the Weald)
Peter Harrison (Manchester Gorton)
Timothy Webb (Northampton North)
Andrew Holland (Norwich North)
Parvaiz Sardar (Nottingham East)
Gulzar Nazir (Oldham East and Saddleworth)

Richard Masih (Pendle)
Donald Watson (Pontypridd)
George Ambroze (Preston)
Scott Beverley (Redditch)
Ruby Akhtar (Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner) (Christian first name though)
Ray Green (Sheffield Hallam)
Sunil Chaudhary (Slough)
Ted Strike (Stockton South)
Geoffrey Macharia (Streatham)
Samuel Jacob (Stretford and Urmston)
Alastair Kirk (Swindon South)
Charlene Detheridge (Tamworth)
Arinola Araba (Thurrock)
Shereen Paul (Tooting)
Abimbola Kadara (Tottenham)
John Harrold (Vale of Glamorgan)
Lana Martin (Vauxhall)
Babar Shakir (Walsall North)
Gulzaman Khan (Walsall South)
Ashar Mall (Walthamstow)

Michael Flynn (Wansbeck)
Gabriela Fajardo (Westminster North)
David Martin (Wimbledon)
Stuart Dearsley (Worthing West)
David Owen (Ynys Mon)
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sbane
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« Reply #1198 on: May 10, 2010, 03:03:51 PM »

I noticed UKIP also ran some Asian candidates. It would be pretty weird if the BNP did as well.
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« Reply #1199 on: May 10, 2010, 03:04:52 PM »

Converts seem far more likely to be the type prone to such a hyper-fundie party than whites in Britain. Especially considering that these people would be considered extreme probably even in the US South. Don't they supported changing the Welsh flag because they consider the dragon a Satantic symbol or something?
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