1968: Nixon vs. Humphrey with no Wallace (user search)
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  1968: Nixon vs. Humphrey with no Wallace (search mode)
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Author Topic: 1968: Nixon vs. Humphrey with no Wallace  (Read 11547 times)
Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey
hantheguitarman
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« on: May 05, 2010, 06:04:08 PM »

Let's say Wallace doesn't run as a third party candidate and refuses to make an endorsement for either Nixon or Humphrey. How does election night look?

Discuss, with maps.
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Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey
hantheguitarman
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2010, 06:52:56 PM »

Well had every vote for Wallace in Michigan gone to Nixon, Nixon would have carried the state. The question is whether every vote in Michigan would've gone to Nixon.

I remember reading somewhere that 10% of Wallace voters would've voted for Nixon, and 4% would've voted for Humphrey if Wallace was not on the ballot. In that case, then Nixon wins a 53%-46% PV victory.
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Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey
hantheguitarman
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,025


« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2010, 05:04:42 PM »


I doubt that Humphrey, who said publicly that "the time has arrived in America for the Democratic Party to get out of the shadow of states' rights and walk forthrightly into the bright sunshine of human rights," would've carried MS or AL, especially when Nixon was already attempting to court Southerners with the Southern Strategy.
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