May 4 primary election results thread (Indiana, North Carolina, Ohio)

[Joe Biden 2020]

When is the Indiana runoff?

I don't think there is one.....or did I miss something?

There may not be, but I thought there would be one if a candidate didn't get more than 50% of the vote.  I could be wrong, though.

[Sam Spade]

Coats has no reason why he'd lose, I think observers are more interested in seeing if DeMint's guy does better than 3rd

I'd be pretty surprised if Stutzman finishes worse than Hostettler, given what's in.

[Meeker]

When is the Indiana runoff?

I don't think there is one.....or did I miss something?

There may not be, but I thought there would be one if a candidate didn't get more than 50% of the vote.  I could be wrong, though.

There are 40%-offs in North Carolina. But nothing in Indiana (or Ohio).

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Looks like Souder is fine now.

Dan Burton has an embarrassingly low plurality, though I don't see him losing.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Looks like Souder is fine now.

Dan Burton has an embarrassingly low plurality, though I don't see him losing.

With regard to IN-3: How much of FT. Wayne is in, compaired to the rest of the district?
With regard to IN-5: If Burton wins (shudder), he should be gone in a cycle or two once he faces one opponent (besides McGoff)

[JohnnyLongtorso]

House races goin' on:

IN-02: Jackie Walorski has a pretty solid lead so far.

IN-03: Mark Souder is up 48-35 over Bob Thomas.

IN-04: Todd Rokita has this one sewn up. 46-18 over his closest rival.

IN-05: Dan Burton looks to be surviving thanks to a fractured primary; he's up 38-30.

IN-08: teabagger Kristi Risk is about 50 votes ahead of Larry Bucshon.

IN-09: Todd Young leads Mike Sodrel 39-36.

[Meeker]

Looks like Souder is fine now.

Dan Burton has an embarrassingly low plurality, though I don't see him losing.

With regard to IN-3: How much of FT. Wayne is in, compaired to the rest of the district?
With regard to IN-5: If Burton wins (shudder), he should be gone in a cycle or two once he faces one opponent (besides McGoff)

Souder is ahead in every county but one and he's only losing there by 1%. He's got this in the bag.

Not enough in from the big counties to make a call in the 5th.

[Franzl]

Tmth's crazy candidate Risk () is up 11 votes with 30% reporting.

[Meeker]

Marshall way ahead in NC with 4% in

EDIT: Actually that has to be a typo on number of precincts in

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I had a sinking feeling Coats would win but not by this much.

Tmth's crazy candidate Risk () is up 11 votes with 30% reporting.

Such leads are so ridculously untenable that it could be easily lost very quickly or could grow much larger. Its just hilarious to have as little as 10 votes separating two candidates though.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

BoE results, looks like all absentees:

Elaine Marshall (DEM)      39.74%   11,706
Cal Cunningham (DEM)      22.33%   6,577
Ken Lewis (DEM)      14.73%   4,338
Marcus W. Williams (DEM)      9.81%   2,888
Susan Harris (DEM)      8.20%   2,415
Ann Worthy (DEM)      5.19%   1,529

[Franzl]

Yeah those mini leads are fun.....there was some point in the IL primary where one candidate for Comptroller was up by like 30 votes in all of Illinois with 70% reporting or so.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Interestingly, Larry Kissell only leads his challenger from the left by 55-45 in the absentee count.

Edit: never mind, now it's 60-40.

[Meeker]

Shuler's margin is also narrow according to the AP

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Interestingly, Larry Kissell only leads his challenger from the left by 55-45 in the absentee count.

Keep an eye on the GOP primary in the 8th. That D'Annunzio guy with the most money is real nutcase, holding "machine gun" fundraisers and making very bombastic statements. Don't know who Harold Johnson is but he will be infinitely better than that nut.

[Meeker]

Stutzman is narrowing the margin ever so slightly. Not enough to win though.

[Lunar]

Coats has no reason why he'd lose, I think observers are more interested in seeing if DeMint's guy does better than 3rd

I'd be pretty surprised if Stutzman finishes worse than Hostettler, given what's in.

Yeah, I exaggerated.  I guess I meant, observers (including Cillizza from this morning) were looking to see if the Sutzer could make a strong showing or not.   This is the first test, other than Rubio's ascendancy, to see if the anti-establishment sentiment could really make a punch in a major race.  Kirk obviously did just fine in Illinois.

After this we have Buck and Chuck.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Stutzman is narrowing the margin ever so slightly. Not enough to win though.

He needed another month or a runoff which Indiana doesn't have.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Burton's lead has shrunk to 33-31. 246/617 precincts in.

Edit: Kristi Risk is increasing her lead, 31-27 with 272/635 in.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Burton's lead has shrunk to 33-31. 246/617 precincts in.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Did Burton have some sort of scandal?

Looks like Sodrel might be done. No fourth rematch.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Did Burton have some sort of scandal?

Looks like Sodrel might be done. No fourth rematch.

I don't remember hearing of one. He's just hated by the Republicans for some reason.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

AP has projected Jackie Walorski and Mark Souder as winners.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

NC results so far:

Elaine Marshall (DEM)      38.72%   51,399
Cal Cunningham (DEM)      27.96%   37,118
Ken Lewis (DEM)      15.24%   20,226
Marcus W. Williams (DEM)      7.97%   10,586
Susan Harris (DEM)      6.52%   8,651
Ann Worthy (DEM)      3.59%   4,771

Marshall has been hovering just below 40% this whole time.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Did Burton have some sort of scandal?

Looks like Sodrel might be done. No fourth rematch.

I don't remember hearing of one. He's just hated by the Republicans for some reason.

Pork and because in 2007 he missed several votes to attend a Golf Championship of some kind.