probability that the 2016 Democratic ticket will have a woman on it?

[morgieb]

85%. Even if Hillary doesn't run, I reckon Gillibrand might sneak it, and I think there'll be a woman veep if a man gets the nomination.

[Lincoln Republican]

How about this: What is the probability of the Democratic ticket in 2016 having 2 women on it? 

0%

[Vern]

I believe both the Democrats and Republican will have women on their tickets.

[Mr. Morden]

I believe both the Democrats and Republican will have women on their tickets.

The Democrats will.

The Republicans I'm not sure about, as the list of available options is still somewhat limited.  But if they don't have a woman on the ticket, I think they'll at least have a racial minority on the ticket.

[TNF]

95-100%

[Mr. Morden]

Heh, I started this thread in March 2010, and many posters at that time were saying something like 40-50% or so, while I was saying ~90%.  Now that the thread has been bumped, everyone's agreeing with me.  

[Mister Mets]

Heh, I started this thread in March 2010, and many posters at that time were saying something like 40-50% or so, while I was saying ~90%.  Now that the thread has been bumped, everyone's agreeing with me.  

This is a bit odd. Apparently I'm the guy who bumped the thread after nearly three years.

I didn't think there was anything unusual about it when I commented in it.

[Mr. Morden]

Heh, I started this thread in March 2010, and many posters at that time were saying something like 40-50% or so, while I was saying ~90%.  Now that the thread has been bumped, everyone's agreeing with me.  

This is a bit odd. Apparently I'm the guy who bumped the thread after nearly three years.

I didn't think there was anything unusual about it when I commented in it.

No, I think it was bumped by one of those troll-spam accounts who bumped about 20 threads on this board before being banned.  I went back and deleted all of his posts, so I guess it now looks like you bumped it, but it wasn't really you.

[Dakota Robertson]

75% chance

[Badger]

80+% Only realistic scenario otherwise is if two guys run close and form a 'unity ticket' to placate their respective supporters.

If hillary doesn't get the nom, I think gillabrand or kolbachar get the veep slot.

[Mister Mets]

The Democrats have a good bench of potential female Veeps...

Senator Claire McCaskll of Missouri.
Senator Kirsten Gilibrand of New York.
UN Ambassador Susan Rice.
Senator Kay Hagan of North Carolina.
Senator Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota.
Former Labor Secretary Hilda Solis.
Governor Margaret Hassan of New Hampshire.
Senator Maria Cantwell of Washington.
Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota.
Senator Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin.
Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts.

And provided she's healthy enough...
Former Representative Gabrielle Giffords of Arizona