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  Talk Elections
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  2010 Elections
  How many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Hows many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House?
#1
None
 
#2
1-4
 
#3
5-9
 
#4
10-17
 
#5
18-22
 
#6
23-44
 
#7
45 or more
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 112

Author Topic: How many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House?  (Read 41056 times)
Franzl
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,274
Germany


« on: November 24, 2009, 06:09:34 am »

I'd guess about 25.
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Franzl
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,274
Germany


« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2009, 02:06:18 pm »

Naturally, I'd say 25-35 seats could be expected, though not significant.  I'd say anything above 35, and you are entering re-alignment range.  The GOP doing better than 1994 is not out of the question.

Just as the Bradley Effect costing Obama the election was not out of the question.
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Franzl
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,274
Germany


« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2009, 02:22:43 pm »

Naturally, I'd say 25-35 seats could be expected, though not significant.  I'd say anything above 35, and you are entering re-alignment range.  The GOP doing better than 1994 is not out of the question.

Just as the Bradley Effect costing Obama the election was not out of the question.

Well it wasn't. If you're attempting sarcasm, I'm failing to detect it Tongue

My general feeling is we're in a period (probably since 2006) where the controlling party, whichever one it is, will suffer huge losses after huge but short-lived gains in power.

I'm just mocking J.J.'s analysis, that's it.
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