Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 09:17:40 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2010 Elections
  Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings  (Read 1680 times)
nhmagic
azmagic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,097
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.62, S: 4.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 18, 2009, 11:52:15 PM »

I don't ever see his rankings included and he is incredible at forecasting races and elections.

November 19, 2009

Safe Republican
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Georgia
Idaho
Kansas
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Utah

Likely Republican
Florida (either candidate)
Iowa

Leans Republican
Louisiana
North Carolina

Tossup
Arkansas
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Illinois
Kentucky
Missouri
Nevada
New Hampshire
North Dakota
Ohio
Pennsylvania

Huh
Texas (until primary he won't rate)

Leans Dem
None

Likely Dem
California
New York 2

Solid Dem
Hawaii
Indiana
Massachusetts
Maryland
New York 1
Oregon
Vermont
Washington
Wisconsin

Link for analysis:
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2009111901
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,030
Czech Republic


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2009, 12:37:28 AM »


There is no 2010 senate election in Texas.
Logged
Deldem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2009, 12:50:25 AM »


If Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns her seat during her run for governor (which is looking less and less likely), than there will be.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2009, 12:47:04 PM »

North Dakota would be interesting if Hoeven ran, but until then, no.

If the election in Texas is in November, it's not in toss-up.  Actually, if it's not in November, it's still not toss-up.

Other than that, we agree (or at least are close enough)
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,254
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2009, 03:17:02 PM »

North Dakota would be interesting if Hoeven ran, but until then, no.

If the election in Texas is in November, it's not in toss-up.  Actually, if it's not in November, it's still not toss-up.

Other than that, we agree (or at least are close enough)

Sabato doesn't rate the seat as a tossup. He refuses to rate it at all until after the grubenatorial primary.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.215 seconds with 14 queries.