2010 US Senate Election Analysis.

[nkpatel1279]

So far we have 8 open US Senate Seats in 2010(2 held by DEMS(DE,IL)/6 held by REPS(FL,KS,KY,MO,NH,OH))plus 2 incumbent US Senators who were originally appointed to the seat and are facing voters the first time in 2010 (CO-Bennett(D)and NY-Gillibrand(D). 26 US Senators are running for re-election in 2010.
Looking at the open US Senate Races.
Republicans are favored to win FL and KS.
FL- due to Charlie Crist-R being the nominee- Crist-R is a popular Moderate Republican governor from a swing state. KS- due to weak Dem Candidate. whoever the GOP nominee is US Reps Jerry Moran or Todd Tiahrt will be the next US Senator from KS.
Democrats are favored to win IL,MO,and OH.
IL- blue state,The Democratic nominee-Alexi Giannoulias will get alot of help from President Obama-who is the favorite son of IL. MO- purple state-GOP nominee Roy Blunt is extremely unpopular- DEM nominee Robin Carnahan-D is a popular statewide elected official with a household name. OH- purple state- GOP nominee- Robert Portman is a liability due to ties with Bush.

[nkpatel1279]

DE,KY,and NH are tossups.
DE- both sides have top tier popular statewide elected officials. Republicans have Mike Castle-who served 1 term as Lt Governor(1980-1984),2 term as Governor(1984-1992),and 9 term as At large US House Member(1992-2010). Castle has a moderate voting record. Democrats have Beau Biden- who is completing his first term as DE AG(elected in 2006) and son of VP and former 6 or 7 term DE US Senator Joe Biden. Castle has the early advantage due to experience and high name recognition but Biden will run an energetic campaign and will get alot of help from the Obama/Biden Whitehouse.
KY- both sides have mid level statewide elected officials. Republicans have Trey Greyson- who served two terms as KY S.O.S and Dems have either Lt Gov Dan Mongiardo or AG Jack Conway. Because KY is a red state- I would give Greyson(R) the advantage.
NH- is the opposite of DE- Both sides have weak or unknown candidates. If Ayotte gets away with portraying herself as a Susan Collins- she wins. If Dems sucessfully portray Ayotte as a rightwinger- Hodes wins.

[nkpatel1279]

Looking at the US Senators running for re-election in 2010 including CO-Bennett and NY-Gillibrand.
The following Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2010 are vulnerable to defeat.
AR(Lincoln-D),CO(Bennett-D),CT(Dodd-D),NV(Reid-D),and PA(Specter-D).
AR(Lincoln-D)-represents a strong red state that is very anti Obama. Lincoln does not have an electoral base. Dems hate her because she is a moderate, Republicans hate her because she is a Democrat. Lincoln can win in the end due to the fact the Republicans will likely nominate another James Inhofe.
CO(Bennett-D)-is an appointed US Senator from a swing state with low name recognition. The Republican nominee is a former Lt Governor Jane Norton. This race is unpredictable.
CT-(Dodd-D) is vulnerable to defeat the first time in his 30 year US Senate career due to his role as Banking Committee Chairman during the financial crisis. Dodd can win due to the fact CT is a blue state and Dodd has seniority.
NV-(Reid-D)-same situation with Dodd- His leadership position is reason for vulnerability. but in the end Reid wins due to the fact whoever the GOP nominates will be unacceptable to the voters.
PA-(Specter-D)-is facing a tough primary from Joe Sestak. whoever wins is favored to defeat Pat Toomey-R who is too conservative to win statwide in PA.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

This has to be a cut and paste job.

[nkpatel1279]

Two Republican incumbent US Senators facing re-election in 2010 are vulnerable
LA-Vitter-R and NC-Burr-R.
LA-Vitter-R and NC-Burr-R are both first term US Senators-narrowly elected in 2004 due to Bush-43 coattails. Both Republicans have top tier Democratic challengers and negative publicity during their first term in the US Senate. Because 2010 may be a Republican leaning or neutral year. The Republican incumbents are favored to hold on.
The rest of the Democratic US Senators up for re-election including CA(Boxer),NY(Gillibrand),WA(Murray),and WI(Feingold-D) are safe. The rest of the Republican US Senators facing re-election in 2010- including AR(Murkowski),GA(Isakson),OK(Coburn),SC(DeMint),and SD(Thune) are safe.