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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections
  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  VA: Mason-Dixon: McDonnell 8 points ahead of Deeds
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Author Topic: VA: Mason-Dixon: McDonnell 8 points ahead of Deeds  (Read 1060 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 11, 2009, 12:35:31 am »

New Poll: Virginia Governor by Mason-Dixon on 2009-10-08

Summary: D: 40%, R: 48%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2009, 12:49:01 am »

Using 2008 turnout, Deeds is ahead by 45-43.

Using a 35-35-30 turnout, McDonnell is ahead by 46-42.

Remember that this sample is 38-32-30 for the Republicans.

McDonnell will still probably win, but lets see if Obama can narrow the gap there in the coming weeks. At least it's not 14% anymore ...
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2009, 01:24:38 am »

Mason Dixon usually has a good Republican lean to its polling.  I can recall them showing Obama up by just 3% in Virginia the weekend before the election when he won by seven.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2009, 01:30:36 am »

This is M-D, so it's a bit of an R lean, but it's still over. Deeds will lose.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2009, 10:59:04 am »

It's not going to be 38-32-30.  It'll be more like 36-35-29.  Deeds can still close the gap.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2009, 11:28:34 am »

It's not going to be 38-32-30.  It'll be more like 36-35-29.  Deeds can still close the gap.

No, he can't but best of luck to you.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2009, 11:29:35 am »

Deeds has a a marginal chance of winning, Corzine has a good chance of winning, I sum it up that way.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2009, 03:58:04 pm »

Sad



Ben.
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