Swings from previous elections
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Author Topic: Swings from previous elections  (Read 2515 times)
nclib
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« on: October 10, 2004, 10:03:05 PM »

In all the following elections, all states but one swung to the winner:

(Note: By swing, I mean partisan margin of victory compared to the previous election.)

1968-1972 South Dakota (only state to swing to McGovern)
1976-1980 Vermont (only state to swing to Carter)
1984-1988 Tennessee (only state to swing to Bush I)
1988-1992 Iowa (only state to swing to Bush I)
1996-2000 Maryland (only state to swing to Gore)

Does anybody know why these states swung against the nation? (I know S.D. was McGovern's home state.)
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BRTD
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2004, 10:06:41 PM »

Vermont - it started to trend Dem in the 60s, and this was just a continuation of the trend. Plus Reagan was far more right wing than Ford.

Tennessee - exact opposite, it was trending Republican and this was just a continuation

Iowa - the farm crisis is why Dukakis did so good

Maryland - no idea
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Akno21
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2004, 08:28:47 PM »


I like to think we grew more liberal in that time. My best guess is that Perot had good pill among Democrats here, even though he didn't do very well in 1996.
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Redefeatbush04
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2004, 05:56:59 PM »

Add New Hampshire and Vermont to that list
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