What are Edwards chances on March 2?

[HoopsCubs]

As you know the following 10 states are voting in 2 weeks: California, Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Ohio, Rhode Island, Vermont, Georgia and Minnesota.

I'm assuming John Kerry can easily win CA, CT, MA, RI and VT.  I'm assuming John Edwards can easily win GA.  

Here's my question to the forum, can Edwards steal MD, NY, OH and MN away from Kerry, especially OH and NY?

If he can, then I believe Edwards can be the favorite in the March 9 primaries (Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas), and that will set up an interesting showdown in my state, IL, on March 16.

As one who believes that Edwards (more moderate) has a slightly easier road to the White House than Kerry (more liberal) in a national election against President Bush, I also recognize that Edwards needs to win a few big ones on on March 2 in order to meaninfully battle Kerry in the South on March 9.

Please share your thought!

Thanks,
Hoops    

[elcorazon]

Edwards might have a good shot in Minn & Ohio, as well as Georgia.  I suspect MD will go with Kerry, as will NY, CA, VT, RI, MA & CT.

[JohnFKennedy]

I reckon Maryland and Minnesota will go to Edwards, not sure why, I just do

[Filuwaúrdjan]

MN also has a populist/progressive tradition

[© tweed]

MN also has a populist/progressive tradition

Not as much as wiconsin.

Edwards needs Georgia.

[JohnFKennedy]

yes, I think he will win Georgia also, but that is what hoops already said that Edwards can probably win.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

With Dean out, I say Edwards has a decent shot.  

The NE states : RI,VT,MA,CT, will easily go Kerry

Georgia will easily go Edwards

The other five are close tho.  I suspect that Kerry will take NY, but I think MN will go Edwards, he does well in those upper midwest states.  Ohio is all about job loss, it will go Edwards.  MD is borderline South, and Edwards will pull out a victory.  I think California will be the biggest surprise tho.  Edwards will win.  

Super Tuesday I think

Kerry wins Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Vermont, and New York.  

Edwards wins Ohio, Maryland, Minnesota, Georgia and California.  

Edwards considered Super Tuesday winner, goes on to sweep the 4 southern contests a week later.  

It's gonna be alot close than people think.  Edwards would make a great president, I hope he does well.  

[TheWildCard]

Edwards is going to do well... Since all my predictions thus far have been wrong I will not comment much. But I will say Edwards' chances are good.

[© tweed]

I hate to say it, but I think Kerry will sweep super tuesday.

[JohnFKennedy]

I like your prediction HockeyDude, I reckon California may be the closest.....

[zachman]

It depends on how much press coverage Edwards gets. If he gets equal positive press coverage as Kerry I think he will win Georgia, Maryland, Ney York, Vermont and Connecticut. New England is McCain America, and we look at the candidates past regional differences. I think Kerry will do particularly strongly in Ohio, it is a true midwest state.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

MN also has a populist/progressive tradition

Not as much as wiconsin.

What about the Farmer-Labor party?

[NHPolitico]

As you know the following 10 states are voting in 2 weeks: California, Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Ohio, Rhode Island, Vermont, Georgia and Minnesota.

I'm assuming John Kerry can easily win CA, CT, MA, RI and VT.  I'm assuming John Edwards can easily win GA.  

Here's my question to the forum, can Edwards steal MD, NY, OH and MN away from Kerry, especially OH and NY?

If he can, then I believe Edwards can be the favorite in the March 9 primaries (Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas), and that will set up an interesting showdown in my state, IL, on March 16.

As one who believes that Edwards (more moderate) has a slightly easier road to the White House than Kerry (more liberal) in a national election against President Bush, I also recognize that Edwards needs to win a few big ones on on March 2 in order to meaninfully battle Kerry in the South on March 9.

Please share your thought!

Thanks,
Hoops    

It depends on if Kerry can keep from debating Edwards one-on-one.

[JohnFKennedy]

If they had a debate, Edwards would really smoke Kerry I think.....

[DarthKosh]

If they had a debate, Edwards would really smoke Kerry I think.....

Their is a debate in LA.

[JohnFKennedy]

good good, that should give a boost to the Edwards campaign.

[DarthKosh]

good good, that should give a boost to the Edwards campaign.

Kerry can not debate to save his life.

[JohnFKennedy]

exactly my point

[DarthKosh]

exactly my point

Super tuesday will be fun to watch.

[Nation]

Edwards and Dean have support in Maryland, and Edwards will have a strong finish here, but I still believe Kerry will end up kerrying the state -- probably by around 5%, give or take.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Or listen in my case

[Gustaf]

Edwards and Dean have support in Maryland, and Edwards will have a strong finish here, but I still believe Kerry will end up kerrying the state -- probably by around 5%, give or take.

'kerrying the state', lol...

[DarthKosh]

Edwards and Dean have support in Maryland, and Edwards will have a strong finish here, but I still believe Kerry will end up kerrying the state -- probably by around 5%, give or take.

I don't think this will be decided on sounthern tuesday.  Pennsylvania may have a say in this.

[Gustaf]

Edwards and Dean have support in Maryland, and Edwards will have a strong finish here, but I still believe Kerry will end up kerrying the state -- probably by around 5%, give or take.

I don't think this will be decided on sounthern tuesday.  Pennsylvania may have a say in this.

You wish...

[DarthKosh]

Edwards and Dean have support in Maryland, and Edwards will have a strong finish here, but I still believe Kerry will end up kerrying the state -- probably by around 5%, give or take.

I don't think this will be decided on sounthern tuesday.  Pennsylvania may have a say in this.

You wish...

Yes I do.