New Strategic Vision polls - CA, WA

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Kerry +12 in California (w/o Nader)
Kerry +7 in Washington w/Nader, +9 w/o Nader

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/california.htm
http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/washington.htm

Perhaps more surprising, Patty Murray only up by 9.
Boxer up by 14.

New pollbooth update coming today at 5pm....

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Kerry +12 in California (w/o Nader)
Kerry +7 in Washington w/Nader, +9 w/o Nader

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/california.htm
http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/washington.htm

Perhaps more surprising, Patty Murray only up by 9.
Boxer up by 14.

I would gladly trade four years of Democrat dominance for the ouster of California's Three Witches.

[The Dowager Mod]

Kerry +12 in California (w/o Nader)
Kerry +7 in Washington w/Nader, +9 w/o Nader

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/california.htm
http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/washington.htm

Perhaps more surprising, Patty Murray only up by 9.
Boxer up by 14.

I would gladly trade four years of Democrat dominance for the ouster of California's Three Witches.

booo

[The Vorlon]

Nethercutt in Washington has always been my "dark horse" GOP Senate pickup chance.

He has no money and in more or less unknown, so he faces a real uphill battle in Washington, but Murray is at best a middle of the pack Senator, and Nethercutt has a kind of goofy niceness about him that is hard to run against.

If Bush wins Nationally, I think Nethercutt goes to the Senate.

[struct310]

Murrays up by 9, awesome.  The gap between her and Nethercutt is shrinking.  Also the Republican is up by 6pts in the governors race over the combined percentage of the two people running in the Democratic primary.  Its only a matter of time before Bush starts seeing coattails from these local figures.

[Giant Saguaro]

Super. I would love to see Murray go down. Bush down 7 about matches the 6 he lost by to Gore in 2000. It's going to be tough, but it's possible.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Murrays up by 9, awesome.  The gap between her and Nethercutt is shrinking.  Also the Republican is up by 6pts in the governors race over the combined percentage of the two people running in the Democratic primary.  Its only a matter of time before Bush starts seeing coattails from these local figures.

Where are you getting those Governor's race numbers?   The last poll for WA Gov I've seen was this:

Elway Research
An Elway Research poll; conducted 7/24-27/04; surveyed 405 registered voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 8/4). Tested: Attorney General Christine Gregoire (D), former state sen. Dino Rossi (R) and King County Executive Ron Sims (D).

Blanket primary matchup:

Rossi               35%
Gregoire            26
Sims                15

[MODU]

Kerry only up by 12 in Cali???  HAHAHA

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Kerry only up by 12 in Cali???  HAHAHA

Oh yea!  Considering Gore won there 54-42!  KERRY"S PATHETIC!

[MODU]

Not that.  I get a kick out of others here saying Kerry will win CA in a major landslide.  12 points isn't a major landslide.  My election night surprise could almost be a reality based on this poll.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Oh ok.  California actually isn't like Mass. or anything, it just has a lot of people, so even a small margin equals hundreds of thousands of people.  That's alot to make up.  

[The Vorlon]

Zogby Poll says California is Tied... !

Ooop.. Sorry that was 2000... wrong year... I apologize..

[AuH2O]

Well, LA County has a lot of people. Gore won there by a larger margin than the difference between his and Bush's popular vote (they still count of course, but that gives you an idea).

In many parts of Cali, Republicans do well. But LA and SF are pretty hard to overcome. Impossible, in fact, without a massive Bush win.

I like Nethercutt as well. Vorlon is right about him needing Bush though... I COULD see Nethercutt winning if Bush lost by less than 2%, but most likely he needs a Bush win in Washington.