2004 User Predictions - Technical
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April 10, 2021, 07:21:26 AM
Talk Elections
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Election Archive
2004 U.S. Presidential Election
2004 User Predictions - Technical
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Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Technical (Read 127450 times)
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
Posts: 3,576
Re:2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #100 on:
May 20, 2004, 08:32:34 PM »
Note that I have upgraded the user prediction pages. Please submit bugs and/or post any problems here.
Thanks,
Dave
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opebo
Atlas Legend
Posts: 47,048
Re:2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #101 on:
May 21, 2004, 04:44:11 PM »
Quote from: Dave Leip on May 20, 2004, 08:32:34 PM
Note that I have upgraded the user prediction pages. Please submit bugs and/or post any problems here.
Thanks,
Dave
I filled out the registration form and entered my 'code', but it says my account is not set up.. can't post a prediction.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
Posts: 3,576
Re:2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #102 on:
May 21, 2004, 09:37:42 PM »
Hi,
Sorry for the difficulty. Can you please be more specific? When you entered the enable code, did you get an error message?
Once you enter the code, you should get this message:
User Prediction and Polls Comments successfully enabled.
If you have an old User Prediction, upgrade it to the new database Login
Then, once you log in, I had this message
Note: This account is not enabled for full site membership.
(but I realize that it is confusing and have changed it). The important point is that cookies must be allowed by your browser in order to post predictions (this is how the login information is remembered). Can you describe what the error is when you try to post a prediction?
Thanks,
Dave
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Fritz
JLD
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 5,670
Re:2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #103 on:
May 23, 2004, 11:45:56 AM »
Dave,
I am not able to log in to update my prediction. I am being told that my password is incorrect. I am sure I typed the correct password. I have clicked the forgotten password link, but have not received an e-mail response. My user name is JLD. Thanks Dave!
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ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
Posts: 3,576
Re:2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #104 on:
May 23, 2004, 09:45:18 PM »
«
Edited:
April 01, 2019, 07:37:14 AM
by
Dave Leip »
Fritz - you need to register for the free atlas membership (I've created this new overall membership for polls, user predictions, and the (soon to be available) mock election. The reg page is:
https://uselectionatlas.org/members.php?type=form
Dave
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ilikeverin
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
Posts: 16,179
Re:2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #105 on:
May 24, 2004, 11:10:51 AM »
Quote from: Dave Leip on May 23, 2004, 09:45:18 PM
Fritz - you need to register for the free atlas membership (I've created this new overall membership for polls, user predictions, and the (soon to be available) mock election. The reg page is:
What are we going to be doing with the mock election? Can you give any hints?
Logged
PrisonerOfHope
Rookie
Posts: 88
Political Matrix
E: -4.70, S: -5.50
Colorado Proportional EV Referendum
«
Reply #106 on:
August 17, 2004, 07:56:05 PM »
I've read that CO has gotten a measure on Nov. ballot for proportional appointment of electors that would take immediate effect for 2004 EC vote if it passes. Any chance this scenario can be modeled? How can we best reflect the situation in interim?
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ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
Posts: 3,576
Re:2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #107 on:
September 10, 2004, 08:59:56 AM »
The Predictions Page now has most recent compiled maps and data on the prediction home page. I used the most recent 500 - about three weeks worth. (note, that only one prediction per user is included in the compiled version. If more than one version from any one user was created in the time frame, only the most recent of those is included in the calculations).
Dave
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CARLHAYDEN
Atlas Icon
Posts: 10,638
Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51
Re:2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #108 on:
September 27, 2004, 09:20:46 PM »
A 'technical' prediction which may astound many when the first election results are announced is the size of the 'early; (used to be called 'absentee') vote and its significant difference from the precinct vote.
In many areas, the 'early' vote is counted before the precinct votes as those votes are already in the hands of the election officials in the central (usually county) voting offices.
This differentiation may be particularly accute if Democrat election officials may try to keep polling places with heabily Democrat registration open later than the times provided for by law (they did this in St. Louis in 2000).
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qwerty
ghwbush
Jr. Member
Posts: 706
Re: 2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #109 on:
October 15, 2004, 09:06:45 AM »
Dave, there are a few predictions with all red states or all blue states, can you delete these so they don't offset the average map on the front page?
Logged
Napoleon XIV
Rookie
Posts: 59
Political Matrix
E: 5.94, S: -0.70
Re: 2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #110 on:
October 18, 2004, 10:29:17 PM »
There appears to be some sort of weird bug that just turned my map (and my friend's) into a sea of blue (with the exception of CD 1 and 2 in ME for some reason).
I'm guessing it's a bug, because it's showing the Fish voting for Bush too...
Logged
kevinatcausa
Rookie
Posts: 196
Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.04
Re: 2004 User Predictions - Technical
«
Reply #111 on:
October 22, 2004, 05:39:08 AM »
The median calculations for the last 500 predictions seem a bit off.
Since the predictions don't allow for choices other than Kerry and Bush, all predictions should have (Bush+Kerry)=538, and the same should hold true for the median (which is the average of the middle two). However, the current median has both candidates below 269.
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