Predctions on Election Night 2004 (November 2)

[John]

I want to say before i start if you don't want to make Predctions Don't Blame me ok Thank you
Bush: 278
Kerry: 264

[zorkpolitics]

Bush 269
Kerry 269
(Excluding any CO Ballot effect on the EV )

[Rococo4]

I want to say before i start if you don't want to make Predctions Don't Blame me ok Thank you
Bush: 278
Kerry: 264

That doesnt even add up right.....should be 538

[TomatoSoup]

Kerry 287
Bush 251

[AuH2O]

Bush: 366
Kerry: 172

[The Dowager Mod]

327 Kerry

211 Bush

[Floridude]

Bush 285
Kerry 253

It will be Ohio that decides it all.  

[MODU]

Bush - 274
Kerry - 264

https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=3015

[Horus]

Kerry - 274
Bush - 264

[VHSRupert]

Kerry - 285
Bush  - 253

[patrick1]

Sorry fellow Republicans but if the race were held now I would have it:

Kerry: 291 EV
Bush:  247 EV

[Fritz]

Kerry 316
Bush 222

(Kerry gets all Gore states + FL, OH, NH, WV)

[mddem2004]

Kerry 321 @ 49.5% PV
Bush 217 @ 47.5% PV
Other..... @   3.0%  PV

[Reignman]

well, it really depends on whether you're a Democrat or a Republican.  Democrats think Kerry will win and Republicans think Bush will win.

[freedomburns]

319 Kerry
219 Bush

[cwelsch]

The total could add up to less than 538 if electors abstain or vote for other candidates (like 1972 or 2000).

[Light Touch]

Same as 2000, but NH goes for Kerry.

Ohio and Florida determine the election.

[MODU]

Light Touch, that is exactly my realistic prediction.  

Fantasy prediction is if Cali flips for Bush.  hehehe . . . I'd be as good as Zogby if that comes true.  hehehe

[HoopsCubs]

Kerry 270
Bush 268

Everthing is the same as 2000, except
Kerry wins New Hampshire and Arkansas.

[Volrath50]

Kerry 291
Bush 247

Kerry keeps the Gore states, but gains New Hampshire and Florida.

This ignores any "problems" with electronic voting machines, which I suspect will effect Kerry more than Bush, at least in Florida.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Kerry   321
Bush    217

Kerry keeps all Gore states, adding NH, WV, OH, FL, and NV.  

[ilikeverin]

well, it really depends on whether you're a Democrat or a Republican.  Democrats think Kerry will win and Republicans think Bush will win.

Actually, I had Bush winning for a while.

But, I digress.
Kerry-274
Bush-264

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=2891

[John]

Well it looks like CA it a Toss Up
But Think Kerry will win it if bush i hope has a big Bounce in the Polls then CA will go to Bush
Bush: 329
Kerry: 209

[Reignman]

California...a toss up?  I admit there was a recent close poll, but that is probably not representative of California.  Kerry has been way ahead in CA for the last several weeks.  There probably wasn't a sudden 7 point shift there.

[IowaLibert]

Bush: 366
Kerry: 172

If there's a Paypal for placing bets, I'd be glad to bet that Bush won't get more than 350 EVs.

(damn!!  I wonder if I just gave away a multi-million dollar idea.....)