Whats going on with polls?
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Author Topic: Whats going on with polls?  (Read 1149 times)
King
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« on: September 15, 2004, 08:13:06 PM »
Shocked

If this is true Kerry is a dead man.
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Lunar
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2004, 08:14:16 PM »
Yeah, Kerry would be over if these were true, simply because if it was true, Bush would be 15-20 points up in the national polls right now.  However, the good national polls show it between 0 and 7.
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Gabu
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2004, 08:19:10 PM »
If Bush was really within 6 points of Kerry in New York and ahead in New Jersey, what's up with that one poll that still shows him +3 in Oregon?
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Dave from Michigan
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2004, 08:20:15 PM »
a lot of Bad polling is whats up
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HennessyXO
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« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2004, 08:25:02 PM »
All pollings are bad.  Polling is like trying to predict lotto numbers.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2004, 08:28:29 PM »
Quote from: Gabu on September 15, 2004, 08:19:10 PM
If Bush was really within 6 points of Kerry in New York and ahead in New Jersey, what's up with that one poll that still shows him +3 in Oregon?

Rasmussen does a hard weight by party ID which massively damps out changes in the electorate.

Other than a one day blip, I think 3 or 4% is the largest national lead Bot-POll has ever shown
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2004, 08:28:39 PM »
Read my 'Interesting Developments' thread.

The last Democrat friendly poll to try to boost Kerry was TIPP.

Right now the others are low-balling Kerry.
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