Gallup Kerry 50% - Bush 46%
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  Gallup Kerry 50% - Bush 46%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Gallup Kerry 50% - Bush 46%  (Read 1113 times)
The Vorlon
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« on: July 12, 2004, 03:38:37 PM »
« edited: July 12, 2004, 04:46:35 PM by The Vorlon »
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/usatodaypolls.htm

Small change at the REGISTERED voter levels

Was Kerry +4 registerd voters, now +7 (3% bump)

Looks like mostly an "energy" level bump shoving registered voters into the "likely" category.

Minimal change in the whole population.

3% - about what was expected
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mddem2004
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« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2004, 04:10:49 PM »
Well then......thats game, set, and match for Kerry then!

Not since 1948 has an incumbant president have his challenger hit the 50% level in a Gallup Poll and the incumbant still win!!!!!

Easy Vorlorn.....i'm being lighthearted here Smiley
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #2 on: July 12, 2004, 04:32:53 PM »
Quote from: mddem2004 on July 12, 2004, 04:10:49 PM
Well then......thats game, set, and match for Kerry then!

Not since 1948 has an incumbant president have his challenger hit the 50% level in a Gallup Poll and the incumbant still win!!!!!

Easy Vorlorn.....i'm being lighthearted here Smiley

Wrong - this poll "proves" Bush will win...

No President with a Gallup Poll approval rating HIGHER than 44% in July has ever lost his bid for re-election.

Ford in 76 was at 43% and he lost by only 2% - while Bush is at 49% - 6% better - hence he will win by 4%

Gallup says so... Smiley
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ATFFL
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« Reply #3 on: July 12, 2004, 04:35:33 PM »
You are both misreading the tea leaves:

This is going to end up 269-269.
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agcatter
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« Reply #4 on: July 12, 2004, 04:56:50 PM »
I'll take that in a heart beat.  It then goes to the House and Kerry can go back to Massachusetts.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #5 on: July 12, 2004, 06:00:17 PM »
Quote from: agcat on July 12, 2004, 04:56:50 PM
I'll take that in a heart beat.  It then goes to the House and Kerry can go back to Massachusetts.

But Depending on the outcome of the senate election we could still have a VP Edwards Smiley
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Beet
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« Reply #6 on: July 12, 2004, 06:03:47 PM »
« Edited: July 12, 2004, 06:06:08 PM by Senator Beet »
Quote from: mddem2004 on July 12, 2004, 04:10:49 PM
Well then......thats game, set, and match for Kerry then!

Not since 1948 has an incumbant president have his challenger hit the 50% level in a Gallup Poll and the incumbant still win!!!!!

Easy Vorlorn.....i'm being lighthearted here Smiley

Your not allowed to be lighthearted Cheesy
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