Official New Hampshire prediction thread
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Author Topic: Official New Hampshire prediction thread  (Read 17689 times)
agcatter
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« on: January 25, 2004, 10:23:28 PM »

Ok, let me be the first to climb out on the limb and post my prediction for Tuesday.  Hey. I can't be any more wrong than I was about Iowa so here goes.

Kerry             33%
Dean             24%
Edwards        20%
Clark             12%
Lieberman      9 %

Dennis and Al split the rest.  Anyone else care to step out on the limb with me?
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emergingDmajority1
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« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2004, 12:08:40 AM »

Kerry- 34%
Edwards- 21%
Dean- 18%
Clark- 16%
Lieberman- 7%
Kucinich- 2%
Sharpton- .0001

Reverend Al packs up the U-Haul and heads to SC vowing to fight on.
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Beet
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« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2004, 12:36:54 AM »

I can't be any more wrong either so here goes:

Kerry - 35%
Dean - 27%
Clark - 15%
Edwards - 10%
Lieberman - 10%
Other - 3%
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Carey
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« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2004, 12:52:30 AM »

I can't be arsed guessing percentage, so I'll list them in order of how I think they'll finish

1. Kerry
2. Dean
3. Edwards
4. Clark
5. Lieberman
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Nation
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« Reply #4 on: January 26, 2004, 01:59:11 AM »

Kerry - 36%
Dean - 22%
Edwards 17%
Clark 15%
Lieberman 10%
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Gustaf
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« Reply #5 on: January 26, 2004, 11:04:53 AM »

OK, I don't think I made a real prediction on Iowa, so I have the most to lose...I am not that interested in percentages, b/c they're so hard to nail anyway.

1. Kerry 38%

The same percentage as in Iowa...why not? Smiley After that it's gonna be tough

2. Dean 20%

He might be able to still cling on to this.

3. Edwards 17%

He has the momentum now.

4. Clark 15%

Going down, down, down... Cheesy

5. Lieberman 10%

My safest prediction in terms of position. Not going anywhere.

Hmm...only 0% left, Sharpton et al will share that 0%...lol Smiley

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Mort from NewYawk
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« Reply #6 on: January 26, 2004, 11:20:22 AM »

Kerry 33%
Dean 24%
Lieberman 17% (independents come out in the snow for Joe!)
Edwards 14%
Clark 9% (sinking - not coming across strong enough on policy)

No one quits - on to Feb. 3rd!
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Gustaf
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« Reply #7 on: January 26, 2004, 11:48:47 AM »

Kerry 33%
Dean 24%
Lieberman 17% (independents come out in the snow for Joe!)
Edwards 14%
Clark 9% (sinking - not coming across strong enough on policy)

No one quits - on to Feb. 3rd!

That's optimistic! Smiley
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Mort from NewYawk
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« Reply #8 on: January 26, 2004, 11:58:52 AM »

Yes, I'm tossing off my generally pessimistic character for a couple of days.

I figure, if not now, I may not get another chance!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #9 on: January 26, 2004, 12:03:50 PM »

Kerry should win, although I won't rule out an upset...
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jravnsbo
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« Reply #10 on: January 26, 2004, 12:15:16 PM »

kerry
Dean
Edwards
Clark
Lieberman

But Lieberman could surprise us by movign up, Clark is in free fall.
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John
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« Reply #11 on: January 26, 2004, 01:14:16 PM »

I Think Kerry will win Tuesday in NH & Blow Dean out of the Race
Kerry: 40%
Dean: 31%
Ewards: 20%
Clark: 19%
Limmberman: 13%
the others get 2% or 0%
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CHRISTOPHER MICHAE
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« Reply #12 on: January 26, 2004, 01:32:47 PM »

Here's My Predictions, based on 100% of New Hampshire's Participating Voters in their State's Primary.

Kerry:  30%
Edwards: 27%
Dean: 25%
Clark: 15%
Kucinich: 3%
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emergingDmajority1
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« Reply #13 on: January 26, 2004, 01:34:59 PM »

wow, I would to cartwheels if Edwards finished that high
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Gustaf
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« Reply #14 on: January 26, 2004, 01:43:21 PM »

I Think Kerry will win Tuesday in NH & Blow Dean out of the Race
Kerry: 40%
Dean: 31%
Ewards: 20%
Clark: 19%
Limmberman: 13%
the others get 2% or 0%

That makes a total of...123%! Hard to see "the others" add another 2% to that, but if the total in already 123%, then why not 125%?
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Dave from Michigan
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« Reply #15 on: January 26, 2004, 01:54:47 PM »

Dean 25%

Kerry 24%

Edwards 19%

Clark 17%

liberman 15%

others 5%
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Dave from Michigan
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« Reply #16 on: January 26, 2004, 01:56:59 PM »

oops that equals 105%

Dean 25%

Kerry 23%

Edwards 19%

Clark 16%

liberman 14%

others 3%
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Dave from Michigan
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« Reply #17 on: January 26, 2004, 02:00:03 PM »

anyone think Liberman will drop out if he gets less than third in New Hamphire
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jravnsbo
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« Reply #18 on: January 26, 2004, 02:09:42 PM »

nope he has said he will stay through feb 3 at least as this is just his first state.

anyone think Liberman will drop out if he gets less than third in New Hamphire
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Gustaf
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« Reply #19 on: January 26, 2004, 02:11:16 PM »

oops that equals 105%

Dean 25%

Kerry 23%

Edwards 19%

Clark 16%

liberman 14%

others 3%

You did a John! Smiley
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Dave from Michigan
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« Reply #20 on: January 26, 2004, 02:14:10 PM »

It doesn't seem like he has much of a chance at winning
it doesn't look like he will get past fourth place. I don't think he can beat Dean, Kerry or edwards or even Clark. Him getting 3rd would be a suprise.
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CHRISTOPHER MICHAE
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« Reply #21 on: January 26, 2004, 03:22:37 PM »

wow, I would to cartwheels if Edwards finished that high
Then, get ready to do those cartwheels.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2004, 03:27:17 PM »

Kerry 42%
Edwards 21%
Dean 13%
Clark 12%
Lieberman 9%
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Huckleberry Finn
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« Reply #23 on: January 26, 2004, 05:07:26 PM »

Okey let's see...

Kerry 36%
Edwards 26%
Dean 20%
Clark 12%
Lieberman 4%
Kucinich 1%
Sharpton 1%
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #24 on: January 26, 2004, 05:12:55 PM »

Okey let's see...

Kerry 36%
Edwards 26%
Dean 20%
Clark 12%
Lieberman 4%
Kucinich 1%
Sharpton 1%
From your mouth to god's ears....that would be WONDERFUL.
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