Predict who will win in these 2010 senate races

[Mr.Phips]

PA - Murphy (D)

Don't think he's running.  If he was, I'd strongly discourage it because the GOP has a deep bench in that CD and it's probably the most conservative in the Philadelphia metro area.  While the other suburban counties skyrocketed towards the Democrats, Bucks barely budged.  It's maybe a D+2 district at the most and the GOP still has most of the power in that area at the State and Local level.

I'll admit that Murphy running and winning is probably a bit of wishthinking from my side, but I believe that it'll be some Democrat beating Specter in the primary, who takes home a victory against Toomey. Sestak running and winning would maybe be more likely, however I think that if Murphy actually did run he'd win.



 

Murphy is actually to the right of Specter on most of the issues that Democrats care about.  Look at healthcare for instance. 

[HAnnA MArin County]

DE – Mike Castle (R) should he run; if not, Beau Biden or any other generic Democrat.
CA – Barbara Boxer (D)
NV – Harry Reid (D)
CO – Michael Bennet (D)
MO – Robin Carnahan (D) – no way Roy Blunt is going to win this one, sorry Republicans, and I doubt Sarah Steelman will run. She couldn’t even get her own party to nominate her for Governor in 2008; that doesn’t bode so well for her going up against one of, if not the, most popular politician in our state.
IL – Alexi Giannolius (D) *sp*
KY – Jack Conway (D)
KS – Jerry Moran or Todd Tiahrt (R), whoever wins the primary
OH – Lee Fisher or Jennifer Brunner (D), whoever wins the primary
PA – Arlen Specter (D) or Joe Sestak (D), whoever wins the primary
AR – Blanche Lincoln (D)
NY – Chuck Schumer (D) obviously – Kirsten Gillibrand or Carolyn Maloney (D), whoever wins the primary
NC – Richard Burr (R) unless Roy Cooper (D) changes his mind, then I give the seat to Cooper (D)
LA – David Vitter (R) or another far right-wing Republican if/who defeats him in a primary
FL – Charlie Crist (R)
NH – Paul Hodes (D)
CT – Chris Dodd (D)

[DownWithTheLeft]

Sorry folks, but there no way 2010 is a Democratic year, just is not going to happen.  They have too much power and now everything that goes wrong is blamed on them.

NV - Harry Reid (D)
DE - Mike Castle (R)*
CA - Barbara Boxer (D)
CO - Ryan Frazier (R)*
MO - Roy Blunt (R)
IL - Mark Kirk (R)*
KY - Rand Paul (R)
KS - Jerry Moran (R)
OH - Rob Portman (R)
PA - Pat Toomey (R)*
AR - Blanche Lincoln (D)
NY - Kirsten Gillebrand (D)
NC - Richard Burr (R)
LA - David Vitter (R)
FL - Charlie Crist (R)
NH - Paul Hodes (D)*
CT - Rob Simmons (R)*

R + 4

D - 56
R - 44

[Bacon King]

CA- Boxer (D)
NV- Reid (D)
CO- Bennet (D)
MO- Carnahan (D)
IL- Giannoulis (D)
KY- Conway (D)
KS- Tiahrt (R)
OH- Fisher (D)
PA- Sestak (D)
AR- Lincoln (D)
NY- Gilibrand (D)
NC- Burr (R)
LA- Vitter (R)
FL- Crist (R)
NH- Hodes (D)
CT- Dodd (D)

^this, except replace Sestak with Specter. Also, I'll go out on a limb and say someone will beat Vitter... let's say Dardenne.