R2K Montana: McCain up modestly

[Rowan]

MT
McCain 49%
Obama 45%

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/19/151225/31/514/633071

[Lief 🗽]

That's cool.

[Eraserhead]

So according to R2K, Obama is doing better in ND than he is in MT. That's a little hard for me to believe.

[War on Want]

So according to R2K, Obama is doing better in ND than he is in MT. That's a little hard for me to believe.

Same here, in the end I expect most undecideds to break for McCain in ND and for it to be more split in MT. That or the polling is just off.

[Alcon]

Montana = More NRA independents, lower ceiling.

[War on Want]

Montana = More NRA independents, lower ceiling.

Actually Obama is polling the same, McCain is polling higher so I guess this means a higher bottom for McCain? I would think so but in the end I still expect MT to be closer than ND.

[Alcon]

Montana = More NRA independents, lower ceiling.

Actually Obama is polling the same, McCain is polling higher so I guess this means a higher bottom for McCain? I would think so but in the end I still expect MT to be closer than ND.

Eh, I wouldn't put way too much stock in trivial polling differences like that, but either way you want to phrase it. I was more speaking to the final result.

[War on Want]

Montana = More NRA independents, lower ceiling.

Actually Obama is polling the same, McCain is polling higher so I guess this means a higher bottom for McCain? I would think so but in the end I still expect MT to be closer than ND.

Eh, I wouldn't put way too much stock in trivial polling differences like that, but either way you want to phrase it. I was more speaking to the final result.

Oh I see, do you think there is a chance that lots of the NRA, small-l types will vote for Paul instead of McCain? I could see it happening but then again I think lots of those types are starting to have a huge fear of Obama which could push them to vote for McCain.

[Alcon]

Oh I see, do you think there is a chance that lots of the NRA, small-l types will vote for Paul instead of McCain? I could see it happening but then again I think lots of those types are starting to have a huge fear of Obama which could push them to vote for McCain.

It definitely won't help McCain in a state like Montana, yeah.  Not sure about "lots," but he'll lose a few among that group.  The RNA's ad people are probably working pretty hard to make sure that happens less.