What is wrong with the Zogby Tracking Poll? How can Obama just lead by 2%?

[ucscgaldamez]

With his own figures, how can Obama be just leading by 2?

Obama has 84% of Dems, leads by (almost) double digits among independents, yet, he is only ahead by 2%?

There are more Republicans than Democrats in this country? Is it his "likely" voter model? I don't understand what the hell he is doing.

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[cinyc]

With his own figures, how can Obama be just leading by 2?

Obama has 84% of Dems, leads by (almost) double digits among independents, yet, he is only ahead by 2%?

There are more Republicans than Democrats in this country? Is it his "likely" voter model? I don't understand what the hell he is doing.

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Special sauce.

Zogby has his own thread.  This should be posted there.

[Lunar]

Zogby is not a real pollster or one with any credibility outside of the mainstream media.  There is no point whatsoever of trying to dissect his polls for any sort of piece of data because there is none.

I was debating about collecting some images to demonstrate Zogby's stupidity, but I'll just recycle an old one for Zogster:


Basically, I don't know if there's any credible poster on this forum that thinks Zogby has one ounce of legitimacy more than a poll conducted by a fourth grader of their 1st period classroom.

[The Ex-Factor]

What is wrong with the Zogby Tracking poll?

It's Zogby. That's like asking what's wrong with Dick Morris (political extraordinare)'s electoral map. It's Dick Morris.

[Sam Spade]

Zogby "polling" suffers from poor methodology and a host of other bad things.  Nor do we really know how he arrives at his numbers.

Keep in mind, though, that his polling reflects his own beliefs on the race more than anything else.  It's really an "opinion" poll for him - his opinion.  Much like all of us prognosticators here, sometimes he's a genius (1996 - where he got his cred, 2000) or a louse (2002, 2004).

[J. J.]

Why do you think that whenever someone posts a Zogby "poll," whatever it shows, I post, in big letters "It's Zogby."